Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment

K Christensen, U Hounyo, M Podolskij - Journal of Econometrics, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in
intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We …

Assessment of uncertainty in high frequency data: The observed asymptotic variance

PA Mykland, L Zhang - Econometrica, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The availability of high frequency financial data has generated a series of estimators based
on intra‐day data, improving the quality of large areas of financial econometrics. However …

[HTML][HTML] An unbounded intensity model for point processes

K Christensen, A Kolokolov - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
We develop a model for point processes on the real line, where the intensity can be locally
unbounded without inducing an explosion. In contrast to an orderly point process, for which …

Prediction of volatility based on realized-GARCH-kernel-type models: Evidence from China and the US

J Wang, Y Jiang, Y Zhu, J Yu - Economic Modelling, 2020 - Elsevier
We propose three Realized-GARCH-Kernel-type models which do not make the distribution
assumptions on the return disturbance terms. We use this type of model to predict the return …

An unbounded intensity model for point processes

A Kolokolov, K Christensen - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - research.manchester.ac.uk
We develop a model for point processes on the real line, where the intensity can be locally
unbounded without inducing an explosion. In contrast to an orderly point process, for which …

De-biased graphical lasso for high-frequency data

Y Koike - Entropy, 2020 - mdpi.com
This paper develops a new statistical inference theory for the precision matrix of high-
frequency data in a high-dimensional setting. The focus is not only on point estimation but …

Autoencoder Enhanced Realised GARCH on Volatility Forecasting

Q Zhao, C Wang, R Gerlach, G Storti… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Realised volatility has become increasingly prominent in volatility forecasting due to its
ability to capture intraday price fluctuations. With a growing variety of realised volatility …

An unbounded intensity model for point processes

K Christensen, A Kolokolov - Available at SSRN 4513848, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We develop a model for point processes on the real line, where the intensity can be locally
unbounded without inducing an explosion. In contrast to an orderly point process, for which …

Inference for nonparametric high-frequency estimators with an application to time variation in betas

I Kalnina - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
We consider the problem of conducting inference on nonparametric high-frequency
estimators without knowing their asymptotic variances. We prove that a multivariate …

High-dimensional estimation of quadratic variation based on penalized realized variance

K Christensen, MS Nielsen, M Podolskij - Statistical Inference for …, 2023 - Springer
In this paper, we develop a penalized realized variance (PRV) estimator of the quadratic
variation (QV) of a high-dimensional continuous Itô semimartingale. We adapt the principle …