Microeconometrics with partial identification

F Molinari - Handbook of econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
This chapter reviews the microeconometrics literature on partial identification, focusing on
the developments of the last thirty years. The topics presented illustrate that the available …

Local projections and VARs estimate the same impulse responses

M Plagborg‐Møller, CK Wolf - Econometrica, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We prove that local projections (LPs) and Vector Autoregressions (VARs) estimate the same
impulse responses. This nonparametric result only requires unrestricted lag structures. We …

Inference based on structural vector autoregressions identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications

JE Arias, JF Rubio‐Ramírez, DF Waggoner - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we develop algorithms to independently draw from a family of conjugate
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …

Macroeconomic outcomes of OPEC and non-OPEC oil supply shocks in the euro area

Y Cai, D Zhang, T Chang, CC Lee - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Exogenous OPEC and non-OPEC oil supply cuts, which are identified within an SVAR
model with unplanned oil supply outage as an external instrument, decrease industrial …

Recent developments in partial identification

B Kline, E Tamer - Annual Review of Economics, 2023 - annualreviews.org
Identification strategies concern what can be learned about the value of a parameter based
on the data and the model assumptions. The literature on partial identification is motivated …

Time consistency and duration of government debt: A model of quantitative easing

S Bhattarai, GB Eggertsson… - The Review of Economic …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
This article presents a model of quantitative easing (QE) at the zero lower bound (ZLB) on
the short-term nominal interest rate. QE, which reduces the maturity of government debt, is …

Svar (mis) identification and the real effects of monetary policy shocks

CK Wolf - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2020 - aeaweb.org
I argue that the seemingly disparate findings of the recent empirical literature on monetary
policy transmission are all consistent with the same standard macro models. Weak sign …

Robust Bayesian inference for set‐identified models

R Giacomini, T Kitagawa - Econometrica, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper reconciles the asymptotic disagreement between Bayesian and frequentist
inference in set‐identified models by adopting a multiple‐prior (robust) Bayesian approach …

Inference based on SVARs identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications

J Arias, JF Rubio-Ramirez, DF Waggoner - 2014 - papers.ssrn.com
Are optimism shocks an important source of business cycle fluctuations? Are deficit-financed
tax cuts better than deficit-financed spending to increase output? These questions have …

Inference in structural vector autoregressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic …

C Baumeister, JD Hamilton - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
Point estimates and error bands for SVARs that are set identified are only justified if the
researcher is persuaded that some parameter values are a priori more plausible than others …