Can digital financial inclusion promote China's economic growth?

Y Liu, L Luan, W Wu, Z Zhang, Y Hsu - International Review of Financial …, 2021 - Elsevier
Can digital financial inclusion as an emerging and innovative financial service promote
economic growth? Based on a Bayesian macroeconomic analysis framework, this paper …

Bootstrap determination of the co‐integration rank in vector autoregressive models

G Cavaliere, A Rahbek, AMR Taylor - Econometrica, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
This paper discusses a consistent bootstrap implementation of the likelihood ratio (LR) co‐
integration rank test and associated sequential rank determination procedure of Johansen …

A Matlab program and user's guide for the fractionally cointegrated VAR model

M ßrregaard Nielsen, MÅC Ksawery Popiel - 2018 - ageconsearch.umn.edu
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for
estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model …

Cointegration rank testing under conditional heteroskedasticity

G Cavaliere, A Rahbek, AMR Taylor - Econometric Theory, 2010 - cambridge.org
We analyze the properties of the conventional Gaussian-based cointegrating rank tests of
Johansen (1996, Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive …

How the oil price and other factors of real exchange rate dynamics affect real GDP in Russia

A Polbin, A Skrobotov, A Zubarev - Emerging Markets Finance and …, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
This article studies the main sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in Russia. We use
SVARX approach with long-run restrictions to identify an oil price shock, a nominal shock …

[HTML][HTML] Testing for episodic predictability in stock returns

M Demetrescu, I Georgiev, PMM Rodrigues… - Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Standard tests based on predictive regressions estimated over the full available sample data
have tended to find little evidence of predictability in stock returns. Recent approaches …

Instrumental variable and variable addition based inference in predictive regressions

J Breitung, M Demetrescu - Journal of Econometrics, 2015 - Elsevier
Valid inference in predictive regressions depends in a crucial manner on the degree of
persistence of the predictor variables. The paper studies test procedures that are robust in …

Testing for linear vector autoregressive dynamics under multivariate generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity

CM Hafner, H Herwartz - Statistica Neerlandica, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we propose a fixed design wild bootstrap procedure to test parameter
restrictions in vector autoregressive models, which is robust in cases of conditionally …

Bootstrap testing of hypotheses on co‐integration relations in vector autoregressive models

G Cavaliere, HB Nielsen, A Rahbek - Econometrica, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
It is well known that the finite‐sample properties of tests of hypotheses on the co‐integrating
vectors in vector autoregressive models can be quite poor, and that current solutions based …

Data‐driven identification in SVARs—When and how can statistical characteristics be used to unravel causal relationships?

H Herwartz, A Lange, S Maxand - Economic Inquiry, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Structural vector autoregressive analysis aims to trace the contemporaneous linkages
among multiple economic time series back to underlying orthogonal structural shocks …