Marine ecosystems are increasingly recognized as exhibiting the principal hallmarks of
complex systems, including the possibility of sudden shifts in state among alternative basins …

Complex nonlinear dynamics in marine fisheries create challenges for prediction and
management, yet the extent to which they occur in fisheries is not well known. Using …

Short‐term forecasts based on time series of counts or survey data are widely used in
population biology to provide advice concerning the management, harvest and conservation …

Understanding whether recruitment fluctuations in fish stock arise from stochastic forcing (eg
environmental variations) rather than deterministic forces (eg intrinsic dynamics) is a long …

Although it seems obvious that with more data, the predictive capacity of ecological models
should improve, a way to demonstrate this fundamental result has not been so obvious. In …

Ecology Letters (2012) 15: 658–665 Abstract Fluctuations of fish populations abundances
are shaped by the interplay between population dynamics and the stochastic forcing of the …

Passive acoustic monitoring technology can depict underwater soundscapes, yet
phenological and seasonal patterns and shifts in soundscapes are still poorly understood …

Estimating indices of abundance from fishery-dependent data requires that catch-per-unit-
effort (CPUE) be standardized to account for factors that may have affected CPUE but are …

Quantitative ecosystem‐based management typically relies on hypothetical ecosystem
models that are difficult to validate for all but the best‐studied systems. Here, we develop a …

Efforts to understand how to manage aquatic ecosystems often rely on correlations between
human actions and impacts in the ecosystem. We are often warned that correlation does not …