The credibility revolution in empirical economics: How better research design is taking the con out of econometrics

JD Angrist, JS Pischke - Journal of economic perspectives, 2010 - aeaweb.org
Abstract Since Edward Leamer's memorable 1983 paper,“Let's Take the Con out of
Econometrics,” empirical microeconomics has experienced a credibility revolution. While …

Schooling and the Vietnam-era GI Bill: Evidence from the draft lottery

JD Angrist, SH Chen - American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2011 - aeaweb.org
Draft-lottery estimates of the causal effects of Vietnam-era military service using 2000
census data show marked schooling gains for veterans. We argue that these gains can be …

Long-term consequences of Vietnam-era conscription: New estimates using social security data

JD Angrist, SH Chen, J Song - American Economic Review, 2011 - aeaweb.org
We use the draft lottery to construct instrumental variables (IV) estimates of the impact of
Vietnam-era military service on veterans' Social Security (SSA) earnings through 2007. We …

Did Vietnam veterans get sicker in the 1990s? The complicated effects of military service on self-reported health

JD Angrist, SH Chen, BR Frandsen - Journal of public Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
The veterans disability compensation (VDC) program, which provides a monthly stipend to
disabled veterans, is the third largest American disability insurance program. Since the late …

Conscription and crime: Evidence from the Argentine draft lottery

S Galiani, MA Rossi, E Schargrodsky - American Economic Journal …, 2011 - aeaweb.org
We estimate the causal effect of mandatory participation in military service on individuals'
subsequent involvement in criminal activities. To identify this causal effect, we exploit the …

Evaluating the labor-market effects of compulsory military service

TK Bauer, S Bender, AR Paloyo, CM Schmidt - European Economic Review, 2012 - Elsevier
We identify the causal effect of compulsory military service on conscripts' subsequent labor-
market outcomes by exploiting the regression-discontinuity design of the military draft in …

The effect of Vietnam-era conscription and genetic potential for educational attainment on schooling outcomes

LL Schmitz, D Conley - Economics of education review, 2017 - Elsevier
This study examines whether draft lottery estimates of the causal effects of Vietnam-era
military service on schooling vary by an individual's genetic propensity toward educational …

Do guns displace books? The impact of compulsory military service on educational attainment

TK Bauer, S Bender, AR Paloyo, CM Schmidt - Economics Letters, 2014 - Elsevier
To estimate the causal effect of conscription on the probability to obtain a university degree,
we use a regression-discontinuity design associated with the introduction of conscription in …

Compulsory military service in Germany revisited

AR Paloyo - RUHR Economic Paper, 2010 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper estimates the causal impact of compulsory military service on men in Germany
using social security and pension administrative data for the cohort of individuals born in the …

The demographic effects of dodging the Vietnam draft

MJ Bailey, E Chyn - AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2020 - aeaweb.org
This paper quantifies the impact of the Vietnam War on fertility rates in the late 1960s and
early 1970s. For draft-eligible men wishing to avoid military service, the hardship deferment …