[图书][B] Everything is obvious:* Once you know the answer

DJ Watts - 2011 - books.google.com
By understanding how and when common sense fails, we can improve our understanding of
the present and better plan for the future. Drawing on the latest scientific research, along …

[图书][B] Everything is obvious: Why common sense is nonsense

DJ Watts - 2011 - books.google.com
Why is the Mona Lisa the most famous painting in the world? Why did Facebook succeed
when other social networking sites failed? Did the surge in Iraq really lead to less violence …

Why every theory of luck is wrong

SD Hales - Noûs, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
There are three theories of luck in the literature, each of which tends to appeal to
philosophers pursuing different concerns. These are the probability, modal, and control …

[图书][B] Tudo é óbvio: desde que você saiba a resposta

DJ Watts - 2015 - books.google.com
Porque a Mona Lisa é a pintura mais famosa do mundo? Por que o Facebook faz tanto
sucesso e outros sites de redes sociais não? Quanto um CEO pode realmente afetar o …

Differentiating Skill and Luck in Financial Markets with Streaks

A Mauboussin, S Arbesman - Available at SSRN 1664031, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
Determining whether an individual money manager's success encompasses any skill is a
difficult task. Long financial streaks–successive years in which fund managers are able to …

[图书][B] Здравый смысл врет. Почему не надо слушать свой внутренний голос

Д Уоттс - 2012 - books.google.com
Каждый из нас в глубине души считает себя специалистом во многих областях,
особенно в вопросах человеческих взаимоотношений. Здравый смысл и опыт диктуют …

Moral Luck and Control

SD Hales - 2019 - philpapers.org
There is no such thing as moral luck or everyone is profoundly mistaken about its nature and
a radical rethinking of moral luck is needed. The argument to be developed is not …

That's the Second-Biggest Hitting Streak I've Ever Seen! Verifying Simulated Historical Extremes in Baseball

AC Thomas - Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2010 - degruyter.com
There is considerable interest in two consecutive game streak records in baseball, namely,
the celebrated 56-game hitting streak of Joe DiMaggio and the less famous 84-games …

[PDF][PDF] The Great One Is Born: Wayne Gretzky's Monumental Season

T Ison - 2019 - scholarworks.iupui.edu
Statistics and athletic sports have always had a strong connection that many critics, fans and
statisticians utilize to determine how successful a team or an individual player might be over …

[引用][C] The myth of luck: Philosophy, fate, and fortune

SD Hales - 2020 - Bloomsbury Publishing