Some challenges of calibrating differentiable agent-based models

A Quera-Bofarull, J Dyer, A Calinescu… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Agent-based models (ABMs) are a promising approach to modelling and reasoning about
complex systems, yet their application in practice is impeded by their complexity, discrete …

Differentiable agent-based epidemiology

A Chopra, A Rodríguez, J Subramanian… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
Mechanistic simulators are an indispensable tool for epidemiology to explore the behavior of
complex, dynamic infections under varying conditions and navigate uncertain environments …

Bayesian calibration of differentiable agent-based models

A Quera-Bofarull, A Chopra, A Calinescu… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Agent-based modelling (ABMing) is a powerful and intuitive approach to modelling complex
systems; however, the intractability of ABMs' likelihood functions and the non-differentiability …

Estimation of age-stratified contact rates during the COVID-19 pandemic using a novel inference algorithm

CM Pooley, AB Doeschl-Wilson… - … Transactions of the …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Well parameterized epidemiological models including accurate representation of contacts
are fundamental to controlling epidemics. However, age-stratified contacts are typically …

Exploring the potential of history matching for land surface model calibration

N Raoult, S Beylat, JM Salter, F Hourdin… - Geoscientific Model …, 2024 - gmd.copernicus.org
With the growing complexity of land surface models used to represent the terrestrial part of
wider Earth system models, the need for sophisticated and robust parameter optimisation …

Don't simulate twice: one-shot sensitivity analyses via automatic differentiation

A Quera-Bofarull, A Chopra, J Aylett-Bullock… - 2023 - ora.ox.ac.uk
Agent-based models (ABMs) are a promising tool to simulate complex environments. Their
rapid adoption requires scalable specification, efficient data-driven calibration, and …

Emulation and History Matching using the hmer Package

A Iskauskas, I Vernon, M Goldstein, D Scarponi… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
Modelling complex real-world situations such as infectious diseases, geological
phenomena, and biological processes can present a dilemma: the computer model (referred …

Visualization for epidemiological modelling: challenges, solutions, reflections and recommendations

J Dykes, A Abdul-Rahman… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We report on an ongoing collaboration between epidemiological modellers and
visualization researchers by documenting and reflecting upon knowledge constructs—a …

A mixed-method approach to determining contact matrices in the Cox's Bazar refugee settlement

J Walker, J Aylett-Bullock, D Shi… - Royal Society …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Contact matrices are an important ingredient in age-structured epidemic models to inform
the simulated spread of the disease between subgroups of the population. These matrices …

[HTML][HTML] Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19

NH Ogden, ES Acheson, K Brown… - Canada …, 2024 - pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Background The COVID-19 pandemic underlined the need for pandemic planning but also
brought into focus the use of mathematical modelling to support public health decisions. The …