Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?

L Wang, J Wu, Y Cao, Y Hong - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Based on the previous studies that Markov-type GARCH models exhibit inconsistent
predictive ability over different horizons, we conduct the improvement of predictive power of …

Novel optimization approach for realized volatility forecast of stock price index based on deep reinforcement learning model

Y Yu, Y Lin, X Hou, X Zhang - Expert Systems with Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
Accurately predicting volatility has always been the focus of government decision-making
departments, financial regulators and academia. Therefore, it is very crucial to precisely …

Are categorical EPU indices predictable for carbon futures volatility? Evidence from the machine learning method

X Guo, D Huang, X Li, C Liang - International Review of Economics & …, 2023 - Elsevier
The purpose of this paper is to explore whether the categorical Economic Policy Uncertainty
(EPU) indices are predictable for the volatility of carbon futures, in the mixed data sampling …

Artificial intelligent based day-ahead stock market profit forecasting

J Luo, G Zhu, H Xiang - Computers and Electrical Engineering, 2022 - Elsevier
This article develops an artificial intelligent based forecasting model for the day ahead stock
market profit. The suggested model is constructed based on the long short term memory …

Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model

W Chen, X Lu, J Wang - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper adds the decomposed components of realized volatility to investigate China's
stock market volatility based on the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) framework. Empirical …

Industry volatility concentration and the predictability of aggregate stock market volatility

M He, D Wen, L Xing, Y Zhang - International Review of Economics & …, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an industry volatility concentration indicator measured by the
Herfindahl index (HHI) of industry volatilities. Based on data from January 1928 to …

[PDF][PDF] Daily return distribution forecast incorporating intraday high frequency information in China's stock market

Y Yao, Q Huang, S Cai - Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja, 2023 - hrcak.srce.hr
The stock market forecast is an important and challenging issue. Its distribution forecast of
returns can provide information that is more complete, compared to point forecast and …

Predicting stock realized variance based on an asymmetric robust regression approach

Y Zhang, M He, Y Zhao, X Hao - Bulletin of Economic Research, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper introduces an asymmetric robust weighted least squares (ARLS) approach to
improve the forecasting performance of the heterogeneous autoregressive model for …

[PDF][PDF] of Thesis: High-frequency data and volatility predictions

D Stašek - Journal of financial markets - is.muni.cz
This thesis comprises a trilogy of manuscripts that share a common focus on volatility–a
critical measure of the uncertainty associated with movements in asset prices. Volatility plays …

Liquidity Benchmarks and Proxies: Predicting Price Variation on the US Equity Market

D Stašek, S Lyocsa - Available at SSRN 4606040 - papers.ssrn.com
Price variation and market liquidity are intimately related to the market conditions under
which the arrival of new information is being priced-in. However, the literature is limited on …