Rapidly diminishing Arctic summer sea ice is a strong signal of the pace of global climate
change. We provide point, interval, and density forecasts for four measures of Arctic sea ice …

Rapidly diminishing Arctic summer sea ice is a strong signal of the pace of global climate
change. We provide point, interval, and density forecasts for four measures of Arctic sea ice …

This paper estimates a two-component energy balance model as a linear state-space
system (EBM-SS model) using historical data. It is a joint model for the temperature in the …

The exchange of air-sea CO 2 plays a significant role in regulating the Earth's climate. The
errors associated with the estimations of air-sea CO 2 fluxes during extreme transient events …

Global warming is a non‐uniform process across space and time. This opens the door to a
heterogeneous relationship between CO 2 CO _2 and temperature that needs to be …

In this paper we test for Granger causality in high-dimensional vector autoregressive models
(VARs) to disentangle and interpret the complex causal chains linking radiative forcings and …

We propose a new statistical reduced complexity climate model. The centerpiece of the
model consists of a set of physical equations for the global climate system which we show …

The global fraction of anthropogenically emitted CO2 that stays in the atmosphere, the CO2
airborne fraction, has been fluctuating around a constant value over the recent period of …

We propose a non-linear state-space model to examine the relationship between CO $ _2 $
emissions, energy sources, and macroeconomic activity, using data from 1971 to 2019. CO …

Determining whether Global Average Temperature (GAT) is an integrated process of order
1, I (1), or is a stationary process around a trend function is crucial for detection, attribution …