The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic

S Hsiang, D Allen, S Annan-Phan, K Bell, I Bolliger… - Nature, 2020 - nature.com
Governments around the world are responding to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), with …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 using a hybrid dynamic model based on SEIRD with ARIMA corrections

M Ala'raj, M Majdalawieh, N Nizamuddin - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) attracted worldwide attention. It has posed a
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …

The COVID-19 pandemic: growth patterns, power law scaling, and saturation

HM Singer - Physical biology, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
More and more countries are showing a significant slowdown in the number of new COVID-
19 infections due to effective governmentally instituted lockdown and social distancing …

How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?

G Recchia, ALJ Freeman, D Spiegelhalter - PloS one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, social and traditional media have disseminated
predictions from experts and nonexperts about its expected magnitude. How accurate were …

Pandemic management by a spatio–temporal mathematical model

T Lazebnik, S Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky… - International Journal of …, 2023 - degruyter.com
Many researchers have tried to predict the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on morbidity, in
order to help policy-makers find optimal isolation policies. However, despite the …

Comparison of pandemic intervention policies in several building types using heterogeneous population model

T Lazebnik, A Alexi - Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical …, 2022 - Elsevier
In a world where pandemics are a matter of time and increasing urbanization of the world's
population, governments should be prepared with pandemic intervention policies (IPs) to …

Mathematical analysis of SIR model for COVID-19 transmission

H Mohajan - 2022 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
Due to the recent threatening pandemic COVID-19, the research area of this disease is
increasing. This paper tries to establish COVID-19 infection transmission by Susceptible …

Investigation of the stochastic modeling of COVID-19 with environmental noise from the analytical and numerical point of view

S Hussain, EN Madi, H Khan, S Etemad, S Rezapour… - Mathematics, 2021 - mdpi.com
In this article, we propose a novel mathematical model for the spread of COVID-19 involving
environmental white noise. The new stochastic model was studied for the existence and …

Universality in COVID-19 spread in view of the Gompertz function

A Ohnishi, Y Namekawa, T Fukui - Progress of Theoretical and …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
We demonstrate that universal scaling behavior is observed in the current coronavirus
(SARS-CoV-2) spread, the COVID-19 pandemic, in various countries. We analyze the …

Qualitative and quantitative analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic by a two-side fractional-order compartmental model

W Ma, Y Zhao, L Guo, YQ Chen - ISA transactions, 2022 - Elsevier
Global efforts are focused on discussing effective measures for minimizing the impact of
COVID-19 on global community. It is clear that the ongoing pandemic of this virus caused an …