COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2. Modeling the present, looking at the future

E Estrada - Physics reports, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract Since December 2019 the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2
(SARS-CoV-2) has produced an outbreak of pulmonary disease which has soon become a …

The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19

AL Bertozzi, E Franco, G Mohler… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed epidemic modeling at the
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …

COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks

F Schlosser, BF Maier, O Jack… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures
to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of …

[HTML][HTML] The impact of government measures and human mobility trend on COVID-19 related deaths in the UK

GM Hadjidemetriou, M Sasidharan, G Kouyialis… - Transportation research …, 2020 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 global pandemic has rapidly expanded, with the UK being one of the
countries with the highest number of cases and deaths in proportion to its population. Major …

[HTML][HTML] A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain and Italy: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics

L López, X Rodo - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
After the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic out of China, evolution in the pandemic
worldwide shows dramatic differences among countries. In Europe, the situation of Italy first …

The relatively young and rural population may limit the spread and severity of COVID-19 in Africa: a modelling study

BZ Diop, M Ngom, CP Biyong, JNP Biyong - BMJ global health, 2020 - gh.bmj.com
Introduction A novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread to all regions of the
world. There is great uncertainty regarding how countries' characteristics will affect the …

[HTML][HTML] Turning the crisis into an opportunity: digital health strategies deployed during the COVID-19 outbreak

PP Sust, O Solans, JC Fajardo… - JMIR public health …, 2020 - publichealth.jmir.org
Digital health technologies offer significant opportunities to reshape current health care
systems. From the adoption of electronic medical records to mobile health apps and other …

Modeling future spread of infections via mobile geolocation data and population dynamics. An application to COVID-19 in Brazil

PS Peixoto, D Marcondes, C Peixoto, SM Oliva - PloS one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Mobile geolocation data is a valuable asset in the assessment of movement patterns of a
population. Once a highly contagious disease takes place in a location the movement …

The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast

M Castro, S Ares, JA Cuesta… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
Epidemic spread is characterized by exponentially growing dynamics, which are intrinsically
unpredictable. The time at which the growth in the number of infected individuals halts and …

The effect of heterogeneity on hypergraph contagion models

NW Landry, JG Restrepo - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of …, 2020 - pubs.aip.org
The dynamics of network social contagion processes such as opinion formation and
epidemic spreading are often mediated by interactions between multiple nodes. Previous …