Real risk-free interest rates have trended down over the past 30 years. Puzzlingly in light of this decline,(1) the return on private capital has remained stable or even increased, creating …
I Welch, A Goyal - The Review of Financial Studies, 2008 - academic.oup.com
Our article comprehensively reexamines the performance of variables that have been suggested by the academic literature to be good predictors of the equity premium. We find …
R Bansal, A Yaron - The journal of Finance, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
We model consumption and dividend growth rates as containing (1) a small long‐run predictable component, and (2) fluctuating economic uncertainty (consumption volatility) …
Comparing US gross domestic product to the sum of measured payments to labor and imputed rental payments to capital results in a large and volatile residual or “factorless” …
This short volume originates in the need to provide a scientific foundation for the advice offered by financial planners to long-term investors-individuals saving for retirement, or …
BJ Hall, KJ Murphy - Journal of accounting and economics, 2002 - Elsevier
We employ a certainty-equivalence framework to analyze the cost, value and pay/performance sensitivity of non-tradable options held by undiversified, risk-averse …
JH Boyd, J Hu, R Jagannathan - The Journal of Finance, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
We find that on average, an announcement of rising unemployment is good news for stocks during economic expansions and bad news during economic contractions. Unemployment …
Navigate equity investments and asset valuation with confidence Equity Asset Valuation, Fourth Edition blends theory and practice to paint an accurate, informative picture of the …
A Goyal, I Welch - Management Science, 2003 - pubsonline.informs.org
Our paper suggests a simple, recursive residuals (out-of-sample) graphical approach to evaluating the predictive power of popular equity premium and stock market time-series …