The ZD-GARCH model: A new way to study heteroscedasticity

D Li, X Zhang, K Zhu, S Ling - Journal of Econometrics, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a first-order zero-drift GARCH (ZD-GARCH (1, 1)) model to study
conditional heteroscedasticity and heteroscedasticity together. Unlike the classical GARCH …

Partial adversarial training for prediction interval

HMD Kabir, A Khosravi, MA Hosen… - … Joint Conference on …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Neural network (NN) based prediction or detection systems often perform excellently with
easy problems without considering 1-5% difficult problems. This work proposes an …

Time series models for realized covariance matrices based on the matrix-F distribution

J Zhou, F Jiang, K Zhu, WK Li - Statistica Sinica, 2022 - JSTOR
We propose a new Conditional BEKK matrix-F (CBF) model for timevarying realized
covariance (RCOV) matrices. This CBF model is capable of capturing a heavy-tailed RCOV …

Sign-based portmanteau test for ARCH-type models with heavy-tailed innovations

M Chen, K Zhu - Journal of Econometrics, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a sign-based portmanteau test for diagnostic checking of ARCH-type
models estimated by the least absolute deviation approach. Under the strict stationarity …

[PDF][PDF] Estimating South Africa's growth risk using GARCH-type models and heavy-tailed distributions

R Chifurira, K Chinhamu - Journal of Statistics …, 2022 - digitalcommons.aaru.edu.jo
The daily returns from financial market variables, such as stock indices, exhibit empirical
distributions that are often heavy or semi-heavy or more Gaussian-like tailed. Estimating …

A new generalized exponentially weighted moving average quantile model and its statistical inference

K Zhu - Journal of Econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
The exponentially weighting scheme is a simple and pragmatic approach to compute the
value at risk (VaR). However, the existing exponentially weighting methods lack a sound …

Generalized quasi-maximum likelihood inference for periodic conditionally heteroskedastic models

A Aknouche, E Al-Eid, N Demouche - Statistical Inference for Stochastic …, 2018 - Springer
This paper establishes consistency and asymptotic normality of the generalized quasi-
maximum likelihood estimate (GQMLE) for a general class of periodic conditionally …

BRC-GARCH-X model: the empirical evidence in stock returns

Z Wang, D Wang - Communications in Statistics-Simulation and …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
A covariate-driven random coefficient generalized conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)
time series model with the form of the buffered autoregression (BRC-GARCH-X) for …

Second-order least squares estimation in nonlinear time series models with arch errors

M Salamh, L Wang - Econometrics, 2021 - mdpi.com
Many financial and economic time series exhibit nonlinear patterns or relationships.
However, most statistical methods for time series analysis are developed for mean …

Bootstrapping the transformed goodness-of-fit test on heavy-tailed GARCH models

X Wang, M Li - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
We study the bootstrap inference on the goodness-of-fit test for generalized autoregressive
conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. Note that the commonly-used portmanteau …