Optimizing ensembles of small models for predicting the distribution of species with few occurrences

FT Breiner, MP Nobis, A Bergamini… - Methods in Ecology …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) represent a novel strategy for species
distribution modelling with few observations. ESM s are built by calibrating many small …

An ecological assessment of the pandemic threat of Zika virus

CJ Carlson, ER Dougherty, W Getz - PLoS Neglected Tropical …, 2016 - journals.plos.org
The current outbreak of Zika virus poses a severe threat to human health. While the range of
the virus has been cataloged growing slowly over the last 50 years, the recent explosive …

Identifying predictable foraging habitats for a wide‐ranging marine predator using ensemble ecological niche models

KL Scales, PI Miller, SN Ingram… - Diversity and …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Ecological niche modelling can provide valuable insight into species' environmental
preferences and aid the identification of key habitats for populations of conservation …

Including environmental niche information to improve IUCN Red List assessments

FT Breiner, A Guisan, MP Nobis… - Diversity and …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Information on change in species' environmental preferences (ie, niche) is currently not
included in IUCN Red List criteria, although such information is key for assessing whether …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling the potential distribution of Betula utilis in the Himalaya

M Bobrowski, L Gerlitz, U Schickhoff - Global Ecology and Conservation, 2017 - Elsevier
Developing sustainable adaptation pathways under climate change conditions in mountain
regions requires accurate predictions of treeline shifts and future distribution ranges of …

Contextualized niche shifts upon independent invasions by the dung beetle Onthophagus taurus

DP Silva, B Vilela, BA Buzatto, AP Moczek, J Hortal - Biological Invasions, 2016 - Springer
The historical contingencies of biological invasions may have important consequences for
final invasion outcomes. Here, we characterize the variations in the realized niche during the …

Records from Neotropical non-breeding grounds reveal shifts in bird migration phenology over six decades

DA Gutiérrez-Carrillo, B Mateus-Aguilar, C Gómez… - Current Biology, 2024 - cell.com
Changes in the migration phenology of birds linked to global change are extensively
documented. Longitudinal studies from temperate breeding grounds have mostly shown …

Combining trade data and niche modelling improves predictions of the origin and distribution of non‐native European populations of a globally invasive species

L Cardador, M Carrete, B Gallardo… - Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Although propagule pressure and environmental constraints are among the most
important factors determining invasion success, studies considering both factors …

Current and future distribution of the invasive oak processionary moth

M Godefroid, N Meurisse, F Groenen, C Kerdelhue… - Biological …, 2020 - Springer
Predicting shifts in the distribution and abundance of pest organisms relies on an accurate
forecasting of their response to climate change. The oak processionary moth (OPM) …

Climatic niche dynamics in the invasive nutria, Myocastor coypus: global assessment under climate change

S Vaissi, S Rezaei - Biological Invasions, 2023 - Springer
Nutria, Myocastor coypus, native to South America, is one of the world's worst invasive
mammals, having major ecological and economic consequences. We evaluated the realized …