Functional and phylogenetic approaches to forecasting species' responses to climate change

LB Buckley, JG Kingsolver - Annual Review of Ecology …, 2012 - annualreviews.org
Shifts in phenology and distribution in response to both recent and paleontological climate
changes vary markedly in both direction and extent among species. These individualistic …

Towards process-based range modeling of many species

MEK Evans, C Merow, S Record, SM McMahon… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2016 - cell.com
Understanding and forecasting species' geographic distributions in the face of global
change is a central priority in biodiversity science. The existing view is that one must choose …

Drought survival of tropical tree seedlings enhanced by non-structural carbohydrate levels

MJ O'Brien, S Leuzinger, CD Philipson, J Tay… - Nature climate …, 2014 - nature.com
Plants in most biomes are thought to be living at their hydraulic limits, and alterations to
precipitation patterns consistent with climate change trends are causing die-back in forests …

More than the sum of the parts: forest climate response from joint species distribution models

JS Clark, AE Gelfand, CW Woodall… - Ecological …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The perceived threat of climate change is often evaluated from species distribution models
that are fitted to many species independently and then added together. This approach …

Early indicators of change: divergent climate envelopes between tree life stages imply range shifts in the western u nited s tates

DM Bell, JB Bradford… - Global Ecology and …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Aim To determine if differences in climate envelopes for six coniferous tree species and two
life stages (trees and seedlings) suggest a potential for species range contractions …

Plant fitness in a rapidly changing world

JT Anderson - New Phytologist, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Modern reliance on fossil fuels has ushered in extreme temperatures globally and abnormal
precipitation patterns in many regions. Although the climate is changing rapidly, other …

On using integral projection models to generate demographically driven predictions of species' distributions: development and validation using sparse data

C Merow, AM Latimer, AM Wilson, SM McMahon… - …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Knowledge of species' geographic distributions is critical for understanding and forecasting
population dynamics, responses to environmental change, biodiversity patterns, and …

Forest tree growth response to hydroclimate variability in the southern Appalachians

KJ Elliott, CF Miniat, N Pederson… - Global Change …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change will affect tree species growth and distribution; however, under the same
climatic conditions species may differ in their response according to site conditions. We …

Dual impacts of climate change: forest migration and turnover through life history

K Zhu, CW Woodall, S Ghosh, AE Gelfand… - Global change …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Tree species are predicted to track future climate by shifting their geographic distributions,
but climate‐mediated migrations are not apparent in a recent continental‐scale analysis. To …

Predictive ecology: systems approaches

MR Evans, KJ Norris… - … Transactions of the …, 2012 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The world is experiencing significant, largely anthropogenically induced, environmental
change. This will impact on the biological world and we need to be able to forecast its …