The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak

M Chinazzi, JT Davis, M Ajelli, C Gioannini, M Litvinova… - Science, 2020 - science.org
Motivated by the rapid spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in mainland China,
we use a global metapopulation disease transmission model to project the impact of travel …

Airport risk of importation and exportation of the COVID-19 pandemic

H Nakamura, S Managi - Transport policy, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract On March 11, 2020, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO)
characterized the spread of the coronavirus disease, COVID-19, as a pandemic on the basis …

Effect of manual and digital contact tracing on covid-19 outbreaks: A study on empirical contact data

A Barrat, C Cattuto, M Kivelä… - Journal of the …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Non-pharmaceutical interventions are crucial to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic and
contain re-emergence phenomena. Targeted measures such as case isolation and contact …

[HTML][HTML] Digital proximity tracing on empirical contact networks for pandemic control

G Cencetti, G Santin, A Longa, E Pigani… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Digital contact tracing is a relevant tool to control infectious disease outbreaks, including the
COVID-19 epidemic. Early work evaluating digital contact tracing omitted important features …

COVID-19: Forecasting short term hospital needs in France

C Massonnaud, J Roux, P Crépey - medrxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Europe is now considered as the epicenter of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, France being
among the most impacted country. In France, there is an increasing concern regarding the …

[HTML][HTML] A novel methodology for epidemic risk assessment of COVID-19 outbreak

A Pluchino, AE Biondo, N Giuffrida, G Inturri… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
We propose a novel data-driven framework for assessing the a-priori epidemic risk of a
geographical area and for identifying high-risk areas within a country. Our risk index is …

[HTML][HTML] Real-time forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak in Chinese provinces: Machine learning approach using novel digital data and estimates from mechanistic …

D Liu, L Clemente, C Poirier, X Ding, M Chinazzi… - Journal of medical …, 2020 - jmir.org
Background The inherent difficulty of identifying and monitoring emerging outbreaks caused
by novel pathogens can lead to their rapid spread; and if left unchecked, they may become …

Genomic analysis of early SARS-CoV-2 variants introduced in Mexico

B Taboada, JA Vazquez-Perez… - Journal of …, 2020 - Am Soc Microbiol
ABSTRACT The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected most
countries in the world. Studying the evolution and transmission patterns in different countries …

A predictive model for Covid-19 spread–with application to eight US states and how to end the pandemic

ZS Khan, F Van Bussel, F Hussain - Epidemiology & Infection, 2020 - cambridge.org
A compartmental model is proposed to predict the coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) spread. It
considers: detected and undetected infected populations, social sequestration, release from …

[HTML][HTML] The impact of the covid-19 self-isolation policy on the occupations of vulnerable groups

A Amirudin, M Urbański, J Saputra… - International Journal of …, 2021 - mdpi.com
Today, the spread of the Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to impact on
world public health and bring about considerable human suffering partly due to government …