Current challenges when using numbers in patient decision aids: advanced concepts

LJ Trevena, C Bonner, Y Okan, E Peters… - Medical Decision …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Background Decision aid developers have to convey complex task-specific numeric
information in a way that minimizes bias and promotes understanding of the options …

Meta-analysis of the effect of natural frequencies on Bayesian reasoning.

M McDowell, P Jacobs - Psychological bulletin, 2017 - psycnet.apa.org
The natural frequency facilitation effect describes the finding that people are better able to
solve descriptive Bayesian inference tasks when represented as joint frequencies obtained …

[图书][B] Fundamentals of cognition

MW Eysenck, M Brysbaert - 2018 - api.taylorfrancis.com
Is it possible to learn something without being aware of it? How does emotion influence the
way we think? How can we improve our memory? Fundamentals of Cognition, third edition …

[PDF][PDF] Decision making skill: From intelligence to numeracy and expertise

ET Cokely, A Feltz, S Ghazal, JN Allan… - … of expertise and …, 2018 - researchgate.net
Over the past decade several landmark studies have advanced our scientific understanding
of decision making skill, its measurement, and its acquisition (eg, Skilled Decision Theory) …

Expertise in chess

F Gobet - 2006 - bura.brunel.ac.uk
This chapter provides an overview of research into chess expertise. After an historical
background and a brief description of the game and the rating system, it discusses the …

Effects of visualizing statistical information–an empirical study on tree diagrams and 2× 2 tables

K Binder, S Krauss, G Bruckmaier - Frontiers in psychology, 2015 - frontiersin.org
In their research articles, scholars often use 2× 2 tables or tree diagrams including natural
frequencies in order to illustrate Bayesian reasoning situations to their peers. Interestingly …

26 Skilled Decision Theory: From Intelligence to Numeracy and Expertise

ET Cokely, A Feltz, S Ghazal, JN Allan… - … of expertise and …, 2018 - books.google.com
Over the past decade several landmark studies have advanced our scientific understanding
of decision making skill, its measurement, and its acquisition (eg Skilled Decision Theory) …

A new visualization for probabilistic situations containing two binary events: the frequency net

K Binder, S Krauss, P Wiesner - Frontiers in psychology, 2020 - frontiersin.org
In teaching statistics in secondary schools and at university, two visualizations are primarily
used when situations with two dichotomous characteristics are represented: 2× 2 tables and …

Why can only 24% solve Bayesian reasoning problems in natural frequencies: Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness

P Weber, K Binder, S Krauss - Frontiers in psychology, 2018 - frontiersin.org
For more than 20 years, research has proven the beneficial effect of natural frequencies
when it comes to solving Bayesian reasoning tasks (Gigerenzer and Hoffrage,). In a recent …

The impact of visualizing nested sets. An empirical study on tree diagrams and unit squares

K Böcherer-Linder, A Eichler - Frontiers in psychology, 2017 - frontiersin.org
It is an ongoing debate, what properties of visualizations increase people's performance
when solving Bayesian reasoning tasks. In the discussion of the properties of two …