Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives

S Materia, LP García, C van Straaten… - Wiley …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Extreme events such as heat waves and cold spells, droughts, heavy rain, and storms are
particularly challenging to predict accurately due to their rarity and chaotic nature, and …

[HTML][HTML] Do data-driven models beat numerical models in forecasting weather extremes? A comparison of IFS HRES, Pangu-Weather, and GraphCast

L Olivetti, G Messori - Geoscientific Model Development, 2024 - gmd.copernicus.org
The last few years have witnessed the emergence of data-driven weather forecast models
capable of competing with–and, in some respects, outperforming–physics-based numerical …

Validating Deep Learning Weather Forecast Models on Recent High-Impact Extreme Events

OC Pasche, J Wider, Z Zhang… - … Intelligence for the …, 2025 - journals.ametsoc.org
The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving
rapidly, leading many to speak of a “second revolution in weather forecasting.” With …

Advances and prospects of deep learning for medium-range extreme weather forecasting

L Olivetti, G Messori - Geoscientific Model Development, 2024 - gmd.copernicus.org
In recent years, deep learning models have rapidly emerged as a stand-alone alternative to
physics-based numerical models for medium-range weather forecasting. Several …

Interpretable multiscale machine learning‐based parameterizations of convection for ICON

H Heuer, M Schwabe, P Gentine… - Journal of Advances …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Machine learning (ML)‐based parameterizations have been developed for Earth
System Models (ESMs) with the goal to better represent subgrid‐scale processes or to …

4D-Var using Hessian approximation and backpropagation applied to automatically-differentiable numerical and machine learning models

K Solvik, SG Penny, S Hoyer - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.02767, 2024 - arxiv.org
Constraining a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model with observations via 4D
variational (4D-Var) data assimilation is often difficult to implement in practice due to the …

Architectural insights into and training methodology optimization of Pangu-Weather

D To, J Quinting, GA Hoshyaripour… - Geoscientific Model …, 2024 - gmd.copernicus.org
Data-driven medium-range weather forecasts have recently outperformed classical
numerical weather prediction models, with Pangu-Weather (PGW) being the first …

Improving the usefulness of weather model outputs with machine learning

F Zanetta - 2024 - research-collection.ethz.ch
Information about the weather has profound implications for numerous sectors, including
agriculture, energy, and disaster management. Accurate and reliable predictions are …