Risk tables for less biased and more consistent estimation of probability of geological success (PoS) for segments with conventional oil and gas prospective resources

AV Milkov - Earth-Science Reviews, 2015 - Elsevier
Oil and gas explorers routinely estimate the probability of success (PoS) of exploration
projects, which is used for the calculation of risked prospective resources, their expected …

Rapid discriminative variational Bayesian inversion of geophysical data for the spatial distribution of geological properties

MA Nawaz, A Curtis - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We present a new, fully probabilistic and nonlinear inversion method to estimate the spatial
distribution of geological properties (depositional facies, diagenetic rock types, or other rock …

Interrogation theory

R Arnold, A Curtis - Geophysical Journal International, 2018 - academic.oup.com
The goal of an investigation, scientific or otherwise, is usually to find answers to some
specific set of questions about the state of nature: what is the seismic velocity structure? How …

Building a 4D voxel-based decision support system for a sustainable management of marine geological resources

V Van Lancker, F Francken, L Kint… - … and Marine Cross …, 2017 - igi-global.com
For sustainable management of marine geological resources, a geological knowledge base
is being built for the Belgian and southern Netherlands part of the North Sea. Voxel models …

Reconciling knowledge and collaborative e-research

P Diviacco - Collaborative Knowledge in Scientific Research …, 2015 - igi-global.com
The aim of this chapter is to analyze the mechanisms and the philosophical background
behind collaborative e-research in the perspective of defining simple and useful models that …

Forecasting abilities of individual petroleum explorers: Preliminary findings from crowdsourced prospect assessments

AV Milkov - Journal of Petroleum Geology, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Petroleum explorers regularly make numerous forecasts for prospects and wells, but the
quality of their predictions has inadequate documentation. Here I discuss the forecasting …

Modular interface for managing cognitive bias in experts

MG Whitehead, A Curtis - arXiv preprint arXiv:2208.05996, 2022 - arxiv.org
Expert knowledge is required to interpret data across a range of fields. Experts bridge gaps
that often exists in our knowledge about relationships between data and the parameters of …

[PDF][PDF] Eliciting Quantitative Probabilistic Information from Experts

CA Hayward - 2019 - researchgate.net
Modern geoscience relies on interpreting and extrapolating often limited data from analogue
scenarios to produce a model for a specific case. Groups of experts in various fields are …