Mapping the risk terrain for crime using machine learning

AP Wheeler, W Steenbeek - Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 2021 - Springer
Objectives We illustrate how a machine learning algorithm, Random Forests, can provide
accurate long-term predictions of crime at micro places relative to other popular techniques …

[HTML][HTML] Systematic review and meta-analysis of risk terrain modelling (RTM) as a spatial forecasting method

Z Marchment, P Gill - Crime Science, 2021 - Springer
Background Several studies have tested the reliability of Risk Terrain Modelling (RTM) by
focusing on different geographical contexts and types of crime or events. However, to date …

Open drug markets, vulnerable neighbourhoods and gun violence in two Swedish cities

M Gerell, J Sturup, MM Magnusson… - Journal of policing …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Gun violence is a serious issue in many countries across the globe. It has been shown that
there is an elevated risk for a further shooting nearby within a short time span of a shooting …

Crime risk prediction incorporating geographical spatiotemporal dependency into machine learning models

Y Deng, R He, Y Liu - Information Sciences, 2023 - Elsevier
The spatiotemporal distribution of crime is closely related to the environment, exhibiting a
typical characteristic of “spatiotemporal autocorrelation”. However, most of the existing …

Data-informed and place-based violent crime prevention: The Kansas City, Missouri risk-based policing initiative

JM Caplan, LW Kennedy, G Drawve… - Police …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
The Kansas City, Missouri Police Department sought to reduce violent crime with an
evidence-based approach to problem analysis and intervention planning. Informed by hot …

Neighborhood violent crime and academic performance: a geospatial analysis

P Boxer, G Drawve, JM Caplan - American journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Decades of empirical work have confirmed that experiences with violence are associated
with a variety of adverse behavioral and mental health as well as academic outcomes for …

Using risk terrain modeling to predict homeless related crime in Los Angeles, California

Y Yoo, AP Wheeler - Applied Geography, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract We apply Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) to identify the factors that predict homeless
related crime at micro grid cells in Los Angeles, CA. We find that place based factors …

Risk of robbery in a tourist destination: A monthly examination of Atlantic City, New Jersey

G Drawve, LW Kennedy, JM Caplan… - Journal of Place …, 2020 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this study is to identify potential changes in crime generators and
attractors based on monthly models in a high-tourist destination. Design/methodology …

Environmental factors influencing urban homicide clearance rates: A spatial analysis of New York City

LW Kennedy, JM Caplan, EL Piza… - Homicide …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
In this paper, we explore the conditions under which clearance rates improve by looking at
the experience across New York City. Using one agency provides a control on the …

Assessing crime history as a predictor: Exploring hotspots of violent and property crime in Malmö, Sweden

MC Doyle, M Gerell - International Criminal Justice Review, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
Objectives: Assessing the predictive accuracy of using prior crime, place attributes, ambient
population, community structural, and social characteristics, in isolation and combined when …