Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges

D Barriopedro, R García‐Herrera… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions

CJ White, DIV Domeisen, N Acharya… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …

A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models

L Chen, X Zhong, H Li, J Wu, B Lu, D Chen… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …

Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler - Communications Earth & Environment, 2020 - nature.com
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe

DIV Domeisen, CJ White… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alexander, LV, M. Bador, R. Roca, S. Contractor, MG Donat, and PL Nguyen, 2020:
Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in …

The physics of climate variability and climate change

M Ghil, V Lucarini - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2020 - APS
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …

Dynamic-LSTM hybrid models to improve seasonal drought predictions over China

Z Wu, H Yin, H He, Y Li - Journal of Hydrology, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurate drought prediction is essential for drought resilience and water resources
management. The skill of seasonal drought prediction from dynamical and statistical models …

Advances and challenges in climate modeling

O Alizadeh - Climatic Change, 2022 - Springer
In spite of the chaotic nature of the atmosphere and involvement of complex nonlinear
dynamics, forecasting climate fluctuations over different timescales is feasible due to the …

Do Atlantic‐European weather regimes physically exist?

A Hochman, G Messori, JF Quinting… - Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The subseasonal variability of the extratropical large‐scale atmospheric flow is
characterized by recurrent or quasi‐stationary circulation anomalies, termed weather …