We use laboratory experiments to test for one of the foundations of the rational voter
paradigm—that voters respond to probabilities of being pivotal. We exploit a setup that …

Under which conditions does populist success propagate far-right extremism? This paper
examines how an information shock about the acceptance of xenophobic positions spurs an …

Voters' beliefs about the strength of political parties are a central part of many foundational
political science theories. In this article, we present a dynamic Bayesian learning model that …

Incumbents appear to perform better in elections because they are incumbents, yet the most
commonly proposed explanations for this phenomenon are unsatisfying. I introduce a new …

This research note presents the results of an experimental design to study the effects of poll
releases in Mexico's 2018 presidential campaign. Our research design allows us to test the …

Traditional media has always played a large role in elections by informing voters and
shaping opinions, and recently, social media and various Internet information sources have …

This paper reports on the results of a series of experimental laboratory elections. The novelty
of the design allows me to study the extent to which voting methods defeat the Condorcet …

This article examines the political consequences of pre–Election Day poll restrictions. Our
argument is that laws forbidding the publication of polling results hamper voters' electoral …

Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they
affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll …

We introduce a new methodological approach for studying the effect of biased polls on
election outcomes and apply it to a set of new experiments with 375 participants. Voters may …