The decline of Arctic sea ice is an integral part of anthropogenic climate change. Sea-ice
loss is already having a significant impact on Arctic communities and ecosystems. Its role as …

We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …

This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

The possibility that Arctic sea ice loss weakens mid-latitude westerlies, promoting more
severe cold winters, has sparked more than a decade of scientific debate, with apparent …

Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …

Abstract The Global Coupled 3 (GC3) configuration of the Met Office Unified Model is
presented. Among other applications, GC3 is the basis of the United Kingdom's submission …

Northern midlatitudes, over central Eurasia in particular, have experienced frequent severe
winters in recent decades,–. A remote influence of Arctic sea-ice loss has been …

Are continuing changes in the Arctic influencing wind patterns and the occurrence of
extreme weather events in northern mid-latitudes? The chaotic nature of atmospheric …

The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …