Learning dynamics

GW Evans, S Honkapohja - Handbook of macroeconomics, 1999 - Elsevier
This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of
macroeconomics. Learning has several roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of …

A rational route to randomness

WA Brock, CH Hommes - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1997 - JSTOR
The concept of adaptively rational equilibrium (ARE) is introduced. Agents adapt their beliefs
over time by choosing from a finite set of different predictor or expectations functions. Each …

Rational learning leads to Nash equilibrium

E Kalai, E Lehrer - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1993 - JSTOR
Each of n players, in an infinitely repeated game, starts with subjective beliefs about his
opponents' strategies. If the individual beliefs are compatible with the true strategies chosen …

Price discovery and learning during the preopening period in the Paris Bourse

B Biais, P Hillion, C Spatt - Journal of Political Economy, 1999 - journals.uchicago.edu
Before the opening of the Paris Bourse, traders place orders and indicative prices are set.
This offers a laboratory to study empirically the tâtonnement process through which markets …

Indeterminacy of equilibria in a hyperinflationary world: Experimental evidence

R Marimon, S Sunder - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1993 - JSTOR
We design and study an OLG experimental economy where the government finances a fixed
real deficit through seigniorage. The economy has continua of nonstationary rational …

Consistent expectations equilibria

C Hommes, G Sorger - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1998 - cambridge.org
We consider a class of nonlinear dynamic economic models in which the actual realizations
of a certain variable (eg, price) depend on the agents' expectations about this variable. We …

Genetic algorithms and inflationary economies

J Arifovic - Journal of Monetary Economics, 1995 - Elsevier
This paper studies overlapping generations economies in which agents use genetic
algorithms to learn correct decision rules. The results of computer simulations show that a …

On the consistency of backward-looking expectations: The case of the cobweb

CH Hommes - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1998 - Elsevier
In dynamic models of economic fluctuations backward-looking expectations with systematic
forecasting errors are inconsistent with rational behaviour. In non-linear dynamic models …

Learning equilibria

J Bullard - Journal of Economic Theory, 1994 - Elsevier
Complicated equilibrium trajectories under least squared learning are shown to exist in a
standard version of the overlapping generations model. These trajectories exist when the …

Learning in cobweb experiments

C Hommes, J Sonnemans, J Tuinstra… - Macroeconomic …, 2007 - cambridge.org
Different theories of expectation formation and learning usually yield different outcomes for
realized market prices in dynamic models. The purpose of this paper is to investigate …