Testing for explosive bubbles: a review

A Skrobotov - Dependence Modeling, 2023 - degruyter.com
This review discusses methods of testing for explosive bubbles in time series. A large
number of recently developed testing methods under various assumptions about innovation …

Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test

V Monschang, B Wilfling - Empirical Economics, 2021 - Springer
In this paper, we analyze the capacity of supremum augmented Dickey–Fuller (SADF),
generalized SADF (GSADF), and of several heteroscedasticity-adjusted sup-ADF-style tests …

Are there periodically collapsing bubbles in the stock markets? New international evidence

SW Chen, CS Hsu, Z Xie - Economic Modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
A stock price may face a bubble problem for a number of periods, but in the long run the
stock price is determined by its market fundamentals. This paper takes this possibility into …

[HTML][HTML] Speculative bubbles in present-value models: A Bayesian Markov-switching state space approach

JCC Chan, C Santi - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2021 - Elsevier
We estimate the dynamics of a speculative bubble subject to a surviving and a collapsing
regime together with the dynamics of dividends and returns in a tractable state space …

Review on financial bubbles

S Harsha, B Ismail - Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 2019 - content.iospress.com
Study of financial bubbles is the extremely important topic in the modern society. Their
formation and dramatic bursts are frequently considered to have a massive impact on most …

Probabilistic forecasting of bubbles and flash crashes

A Banerjee, G Chevillon, M Kratz - The Econometrics Journal, 2020 - academic.oup.com
We propose a near-explosive random coefficient autoregressive model (NERC) to obtain
predictive probabilities of the apparition and devolution of bubbles. The distribution of the …

[PDF][PDF] A Markov Regime-Switching Model with Time-Varying Transition Probabilities for Identifying Asset Price Bubbles

ML Higgins, F Ofori-Acheampong - International Journal of …, 2018 - academia.edu
In this paper, a Markov regime-switching model with time-varying transition probabilities is
developed to identify asset price bubbles in the S&P 500 index. The model nests two …

Detecting and forecasting large deviations and bubbles in a near-explosive random coefficient model

AN Banerjee, G Chevillon, M Kratz - Available at SSRN 2322360, 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper proposes a Near Explosive Random-Coefficient autoregressive model for asset
pricing which accommodates both the fundamental asset value and the recurrent presence …

[PDF][PDF] An empirical analysis of bubbles in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (1985-2018): A generalised sup augmented dickey-fuller approach

J Iliyasu, AR Sanusi, D Suleiman - Al-Hikmah Management …, 2020 - researchgate.net
This study sets out to conduct an empirical analysis of the nature of bubbles in the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE). The paper achieved this in three inter-related steps. In the first step …

Policy Implications of Asset Price Bubbles

A Hanson - 2020 - search.proquest.com
POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF ASSET PRICE BUBBLES Andrew Hanson A dissertation
submitted to the faculty of the University of North Caro Page 1 POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF …