Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
[HTML][HTML] The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events
DIV Domeisen, CM Grams… - Weather and Climate …, 2020 - wcd.copernicus.org
Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can significantly impact tropospheric weather
for a period of several weeks, in particular in the North Atlantic–European (NAE) region …
for a period of several weeks, in particular in the North Atlantic–European (NAE) region …
Subseasonal Earth system prediction with CESM2
Prediction systems to enable Earth system predictability research on the subseasonal time
scale have been developed with the Community Earth System Model, version 2 (CESM2) …
scale have been developed with the Community Earth System Model, version 2 (CESM2) …
Arctic and Pacific Ocean conditions were favorable for cold extremes over Eurasia and North America during winter 2020/21
A sequence of extreme cold events occurred across Eurasia and North America during
winter 2020/21. Here, we explore the causes and associated mechanisms for the extremely …
winter 2020/21. Here, we explore the causes and associated mechanisms for the extremely …
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems
The stratosphere can be a source of predictability for surface weather on timescales of
several weeks to months. However, the potential predictive skill gained from stratospheric …
several weeks to months. However, the potential predictive skill gained from stratospheric …
The effect of interactive ozone chemistry on weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events
Modeling and observational studies have reported effects of stratospheric ozone extremes
on Northern Hemisphere spring climate. Recent work has further suggested that the …
on Northern Hemisphere spring climate. Recent work has further suggested that the …
Uncertainty in the winter tropospheric response to Arctic Sea ice loss: The role of stratospheric polar vortex internal variability
Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the past four decades and climate models project a
seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean by the middle of this century, with attendant consequences …
seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean by the middle of this century, with attendant consequences …
[HTML][HTML] Characteristics, evolution, and formation of cold air outbreaks in the Great Plains of the United States
Wintertime cold air outbreaks (CAOs) in the Great Plains of the United States have
significant socioeconomic, environmental, and infrastructural impacts; the events of …
significant socioeconomic, environmental, and infrastructural impacts; the events of …
The wave geometry of final stratospheric warming events
AH Butler, DIV Domeisen - Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2021 - wcd.copernicus.org
Every spring, the stratospheric polar vortex transitions from its westerly wintertime state to its
easterly summertime state due to seasonal changes in incoming solar radiation, an event …
easterly summertime state due to seasonal changes in incoming solar radiation, an event …
[HTML][HTML] Analyzing ozone variations and uncertainties at high latitudes during sudden stratospheric warming events using MERRA-2
S Bahramvash Shams, VP Walden… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Stratospheric circulation is a critical part of the Arctic ozone cycle. Sudden stratospheric
warming events (SSWs) manifest the strongest alteration of stratospheric dynamics. During …
warming events (SSWs) manifest the strongest alteration of stratospheric dynamics. During …