Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19: systematic review and critical appraisal

L Wynants, B Van Calster, GS Collins, RD Riley… - bmj, 2020 - bmj.com
Objective To review and appraise the validity and usefulness of published and preprint
reports of prediction models for prognosis of patients with covid-19, and for detecting people …

A systematic review shows no performance benefit of machine learning over logistic regression for clinical prediction models

E Christodoulou, J Ma, GS Collins… - Journal of clinical …, 2019 - Elsevier
Objectives The objective of this study was to compare performance of logistic regression
(LR) with machine learning (ML) for clinical prediction modeling in the literature. Study …

Calibration: the Achilles heel of predictive analytics

B Van Calster, DJ McLernon, M Van Smeden… - BMC medicine, 2019 - Springer
Background The assessment of calibration performance of risk prediction models based on
regression or more flexible machine learning algorithms receives little attention. Main text …

The harm of class imbalance corrections for risk prediction models: illustration and simulation using logistic regression

R van den Goorbergh, M van Smeden… - Journal of the …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Objective Methods to correct class imbalance (imbalance between the frequency of outcome
events and nonevents) are receiving increasing interest for developing prediction models …

Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model

RD Riley, J Ensor, KIE Snell, FE Harrell, GP Martin… - Bmj, 2020 - bmj.com
Clinical prediction models aim to predict outcomes in individuals, to inform diagnosis or
prognosis in healthcare. Hundreds of prediction models are published in the medical …

Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: PART II‐binary and time‐to‐event outcomes

RD Riley, KIE Snell, J Ensor, DL Burke… - Statistics in …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
When designing a study to develop a new prediction model with binary or time‐to‐event
outcomes, researchers should ensure their sample size is adequate in terms of the number …

Critical appraisal of artificial intelligence-based prediction models for cardiovascular disease

M Van Smeden, G Heinze, B Van Calster… - European heart …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The medical field has seen a rapid increase in the development of artificial intelligence (AI)-
based prediction models. With the introduction of such AI-based prediction model tools and …

Early warning scores for detecting deterioration in adult hospital patients: systematic review and critical appraisal of methodology

S Gerry, T Bonnici, J Birks, S Kirtley, PS Virdee… - bmj, 2020 - bmj.com
Objective To provide an overview and critical appraisal of early warning scores for adult
hospital patients. Design Systematic review. Data sources Medline, CINAHL, PsycInfo, and …

[HTML][HTML] Development and reporting of prediction models: guidance for authors from editors of respiratory, sleep, and critical care journals

DE Leisman, MO Harhay, DJ Lederer… - Critical care …, 2020 - journals.lww.com
Prediction models aim to use available data to predict a health state or outcome that has not
yet been observed. Prediction is primarily relevant to clinical practice, but is also used in …

TRIPOD+ AI statement: updated guidance for reporting clinical prediction models that use regression or machine learning methods

GS Collins, KGM Moons, P Dhiman, RD Riley… - bmj, 2024 - bmj.com
The TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual
Prognosis Or Diagnosis) statement was published in 2015 to provide the minimum reporting …