Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data

B Bok, D Caratelli, D Giannone… - Annual Review of …, 2018 - annualreviews.org
Data, data, data…. Economists know their importance well, especially when it comes to
monitoring macroeconomic conditions—the basis for making informed economic and policy …

[PDF][PDF] Big data & macroeconomic nowcasting: Methodological review

G Kapetanios, F Papailias - Economic …, 2018 - escoe-website.s3.amazonaws.com
This paper is concerned with an introduction to big data which can be potentially used in
nowcasting the UK GDP and other key macroeconomic variables. We discuss various big …

When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via preselection and shrinkage

L Ferrara, A Simoni - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Alternative datasets are widely used for macroeconomic nowcasting together with machine
learning–based tools. The latter are often applied without a complete picture of their …

Real‐time weakness of the global economy

D Leiva‐León, G Perez Quiros… - Journal of Applied …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We propose an empirical framework to measure the real‐time weakness of the global
economy. This framework relies on nonlinear factor models to identify recessionary and …

A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth

T Chernis, R Sekkel - Empirical Economics, 2017 - Springer
This paper estimates a dynamic factor model (DFM) for nowcasting Canadian gross
domestic product. The model is estimated with a mix of soft and hard indicators, and it …

Nowcasting BRIC+ M in real time

T Dahlhaus, JD Guénette, G Vasishtha - International Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Given the growing importance of emerging market economies (EMEs) in driving global GDP
growth, timely and accurate assessments of current and future economic activity in EMEs are …

Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition

M Modugno, B Soybilgen, E Yazgan - International Journal of Forecasting, 2016 - Elsevier
Real gross domestic product (GDP) data in Turkey are released with a very long delay
relative those of to other economies, between 10 and 13 weeks after the end of the …

Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors

O Cepni, IE Guney, NR Swanson - Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we assess the predictive content of latent economic policy uncertainty and data
surprise factors for forecasting and nowcasting gross domestic product (GDP) using factor …

Nowcasting indian gdp

D Bragoli, J Fosten - Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Nowcasting has become a useful tool for making timely predictions of gross domestic
product (GDP) in a data‐rich environment. However, in developing economies this is more …

Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging

P Andreini, T Hasenzagl, L Reichlin… - International Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper develops a nowcasting model for the German economy. The model outperforms
a number of alternatives and produces forecasts not only for GDP but also for other key …