Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting

M Liu, CC Lee - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The launch of the China's Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) oil futures market
in 2018 has shed new light on the role of China in international crude oil market …

What drives oil prices?—A Markov switching VAR approach

X Gong, K Guan, L Chen, T Liu, C Fu - Resources Policy, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper constructs a five-variable Markov switching vector autoregressions (Markov
switching VAR) model based on oil prices, oil aggregate supply, oil aggregate demand …

Financial stress and commodity price volatility

L Chen, T Verousis, K Wang, Z Zhou - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
We use a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model to examine the impact of financial
stress on the volatility of commodity prices, including energy volatility. An increase in …

Effects of fundamentals, geopolitical risk and expectations factors on crude oil prices

K Gkillas, J Manickavasagam, S Visalakshmi - Resources Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
Though there are diverse factors that influence crude oil prices, we examine the degree of
influence of factors, such as demand, supply, and geopolitical and economic agents' …

Macroeconomic uncertainty and crude oil futures volatility–evidence from China crude oil futures market

A Yi, M Yang, Y Li - Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2021 - frontiersin.org
This paper investigates whether the macroeconomic uncertainty factors can explain and
forecast China's INE crude oil futures market volatility. We use the GARCH-MIDAS model to …

[HTML][HTML] Can US strategic petroleum reserves calm a tight market exacerbated by the Russia–Ukraine conflict?

N Razek, V Galvani, S Rajan, B McQuinn - Resources Policy, 2023 - Elsevier
Recent changes in global petroleum markets have driven the debate regarding the use of
strategic petroleum reserves (SPRs) as a price management tool during periods marked by …

The dynamics of cross‐boundary fire—Financial contagion between the oil and stock markets

H Wang, Y Yuan, T Wang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Motivated by the complex dynamics between the oil and stock markets, this study develops a
dynamic Markov regime switching‐copula‐extreme value theory model to quantitatively …

The negative pricing of the may 2020 wti contract

A Fernandez-Perez, AM Fuertes… - The Energy …, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
This paper sheds light on the negative pricing of the May 2020 WTI futures contract (CLK20)
on April 20, 2020. The super contango of early 2020, triggered by COVID-19 lockdowns and …

Financial regulatory arbitrage and the financialization of commodities

Z Zheng, G Zhang, Y Ni - Journal of Futures Markets, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We explore the effects of financial regulatory arbitrage on commodity pricing. We examine
two types of financial arbitrage: capital‐control arbitrage, in which commodities are imported …

Gimme Shelter: Hedges and Safe Havens in Banking and Equity Markets

J Raatikainen - JYU Dissertations, 2024 - jyx.jyu.fi
Väitöskirja tarkastelee osakesijoittajien ja pankkien riskienhallintastrategioita
markkinaromahdusten ja muutoin haastavien markkinaolosuhteiden vallitessa. Työssä …