Integrating explanation and prediction in computational social science

JM Hofman, DJ Watts, S Athey, F Garip, TL Griffiths… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
Computational social science is more than just large repositories of digital data and the
computational methods needed to construct and analyse them. It also represents a …

Deep learning for time series forecasting: a survey

JF Torres, D Hadjout, A Sebaa, F Martínez-Álvarez… - Big Data, 2021 - liebertpub.com
Time series forecasting has become a very intensive field of research, which is even
increasing in recent years. Deep neural networks have proved to be powerful and are …

[HTML][HTML] The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods

S Makridakis, E Spiliotis, V Assimakopoulos - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
The M4 Competition follows on from the three previous M competitions, the purpose of which
was to learn from empirical evidence both how to improve the forecasting accuracy and how …

Discrete graph structure learning for forecasting multiple time series

C Shang, J Chen, J Bi - arXiv preprint arXiv:2101.06861, 2021 - arxiv.org
Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and
computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a …

Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward

S Makridakis, E Spiliotis, V Assimakopoulos - PloS one, 2018 - journals.plos.org
Machine Learning (ML) methods have been proposed in the academic literature as
alternatives to statistical ones for time series forecasting. Yet, scant evidence is available …

[HTML][HTML] The effect of challenge-based gamification on learning: An experiment in the context of statistics education

NZ Legaki, N Xi, J Hamari, K Karpouzis… - International journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Gamification is increasingly employed in learning environments as a way to increase
student motivation and consequent learning outcomes. However, while the research on the …

State of charge prediction of EV Li-ion batteries using EIS: A machine learning approach

I Babaeiyazdi, A Rezaei-Zare, S Shokrzadeh - Energy, 2021 - Elsevier
Due to the significantly complex and nonlinear behavior of li-ion batteries, forecasting the
state of charge (SOC) of the batteries is still a great challenge. Therefore, accurate SOC …

[图书][B] Imagined futures: Fictional expectations and capitalist dynamics

J Beckert - 2016 - books.google.com
In a capitalist system, consumers, investors, and corporations orient their activities toward a
future that contains opportunities and risks. How actors assess uncertainty is a problem that …

[HTML][HTML] A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts

S Kim, H Kim - International Journal of Forecasting, 2016 - Elsevier
The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is one of the most widely used measures of
forecast accuracy, due to its advantages of scale-independency and interpretability …

Verification of deterministic solar forecasts

D Yang, S Alessandrini, J Antonanzas… - Solar Energy, 2020 - Elsevier
The field of energy forecasting has attracted many researchers from different fields (eg,
meteorology, data sciences, mechanical or electrical engineering) over the last decade …