A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning

H Tyralis, G Papacharalampous - Artificial Intelligence Review, 2024 - Springer
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …

Time series forecasting using fuzzy cognitive maps: a survey

O Orang, PC de Lima e Silva, FG Guimarães - Artificial Intelligence Review, 2023 - Springer
Among various soft computing approaches for time series forecasting, fuzzy cognitive maps
(FCMs) have shown remarkable results as a tool to model and analyze the dynamics of …

Probabilistic forecasting with fuzzy time series

PC de Lima Silva, HJ Sadaei, R Ballini… - … on Fuzzy Systems, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In recent years, the demand for developing low computational cost methods to deal with
uncertainties in forecasting has been increased. Probabilistic forecasting is a class of …

[HTML][HTML] A new hybrid fuzzy time series model with an application to predict PM10 concentration

Y Alyousifi, M Othman, A Husin… - … and Environmental Safety, 2021 - Elsevier
Fuzzy time series (FTS) forecasting models show a great performance in predicting time
series, such as air pollution time series. However, they have caused major issues by utilizing …

Forecasting in non-stationary environments with fuzzy time series

PCL e Silva, CAS Junior, MA Alves, R Silva… - Applied Soft …, 2020 - Elsevier
Time series arise in many fields of science such as engineering, economy and agriculture to
cite a few. In the early 1990's the so called Fuzzy Time Series were proposed to handle …

A review of probabilistic forecasting and prediction with machine learning

H Tyralis, G Papacharalampous - arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.08307, 2022 - arxiv.org
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …

Distributed evolutionary hyperparameter optimization for fuzzy time series

PCL Silva, PO e Lucas, HJ Sadaei… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Time series forecasting is an essential task in the management of Smart Cities and Smart
Grids, becoming even more challenging when it needs to deal with big data time series. The …

Higher-order circular intuitionistic fuzzy time series forecasting methodology: Application of stock change index

S Ashraf, M Sohail, MS Chohan… - Demonstratio …, 2024 - degruyter.com
This article presents a higher-order circular intuitionistic fuzzy time series forecasting method
for predicting the stock change index, which is shown to be an improvement over traditional …

[PDF][PDF] Scalable models for probabilistic forecasting with fuzzy time series

PCL Silva - 2019 - academia.edu
No campo da previsão de séries temporais os métodos mais difundidos baseiam-se em
predição por ponto. Esse tipo de previsão, no entanto, tem um sério inconveniente: ele não …

Advanced fuzzy time series applied to short term load forecasting

GC Silva, JLR Silva, AC Lisboa… - 2017 IEEE Latin …, 2017 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper proposes the application of advanced fuzzy time series in order to provide short-
term load forecasting, which consists of predicting future demands from up to a week. An …