Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review

MI Brunner, L Slater, LM Tallaksen… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Predictions of floods, droughts, and fast drought‐flood transitions are required at different
time scales to develop management strategies targeted at minimizing negative societal and …

Storylines for unprecedented heatwaves based on ensemble boosting

EM Fischer, U Beyerle, L Bloin-Wibe, C Gessner… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Recent temperature extremes have shattered previously observed records, reaching
intensities that were inconceivable before the events. Could the possibility of an event with …

[PDF][PDF] Land–climate interactions

ÉL Davin - 2022 - boris.unibe.ch
Executive summary Land and climate interact in complex ways through changes in forcing
and multiple biophysical and biogeochemical feedbacks across different spatial and …

The most at-risk regions in the world for high-impact heatwaves

V Thompson, D Mitchell, GC Hegerl, M Collins… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent under climate change and can lead to thousands of
excess deaths. Adaptation to extreme weather events often occurs in response to an event …

[HTML][HTML] Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management

LJ Slater, B Anderson, M Buechel… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2021 - hess.copernicus.org
Hydroclimatic extremes such as intense rainfall, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and wind or
storms have devastating effects each year. One of the key challenges for society is …

An extremeness threshold determines the regional response of floods to changes in rainfall extremes

MI Brunner, DL Swain, RR Wood, F Willkofer… - … Earth & Environment, 2021 - nature.com
Precipitation extremes will increase in a warming climate, but the response of flood
magnitudes to heavier precipitation events is less clear. Historically, there is little evidence …

Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events

E Bevacqua, C De Michele, C Manning… - Earth's …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Compound weather and climate events are combinations of climate drivers and/or hazards
that contribute to societal or environmental risk. Studying compound events often requires a …

Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations

E Bevacqua, L Suarez-Gutierrez, A Jézéquel… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Societally relevant weather impacts typically result from compound events, which are rare
combinations of weather and climate drivers. Focussing on four event types arising from …

Event‐based storylines to address climate risk

J Sillmann, TG Shepherd, B Van Den Hurk… - Earth's …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The climate science community is challenged to adopt an actionable risk perspective, which
is difficult to align with the traditional focus on model‐based probabilistic climate change …

Drivers of future urban flood risk

EC O'Donnell, CR Thorne - Philosophical Transactions of …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Managing urban flood risk is a key global challenge of the twenty-first century. Drivers of
future UK flood risk were identified and assessed by the Flood Foresight project in 2002 …