Environmental risks are a substantial factor in the current burden of disease, and their role is
likely to increase in the future. Model-based scenario analysis is used extensively in …

Infectious diseases continue to impose unpredictable burdens on global health and
economies, a subject that requires constant research and updates. In this sense, the …

Zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) is an important vector‐borne disease with an
incidence of 15.8 cases per 100,000 people in Iran in 2019. Despite all efforts to control the …

BACKGROUND Rodent infestation is a global biological problem. Rodents are widely
distributed worldwide, cause harm to agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry production …

Extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and shifting rainfall patterns pose significant
threats to developing countries with fragile social, economic, and political structures. While …

Climate change will affect the distribution of species in the future. To determine the
vulnerable areas relating to CL in Iran, we applied two models, MaxEnt and RF, for the …

The impact of climate factors on the epidemiology of diseases in general and leishmaniasis
in particular continues to be a subject of research and analysis. Changes in climatic …

Climate change alters the global distribution of leishmaniasis vector sandfly species.
However, the possible effect of altering environmental factors on sandfly species varies by …

Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) remains a public health problem in the world, particularly in
tropical and sub‐tropical countries. This study aimed to determine the hotspots of CL in …

Objective: To forecast the visceral leishmaniasis cases using autoregress integrated moving
average (ARIMA) and hybrid ARIMA-EGARCH model, which offers a scientific basis to …