Economic determinants of oil futures volatility: A term structure perspective

B Kang, CS Nikitopoulos, M Prokopczuk - Energy Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
To assess the economic determinants of oil futures volatility, we firstly develop and estimate
a multi-factor oil futures pricing model with stochastic volatility that is able to disentangle …

Implied roughness in the term structure of oil market volatility

M Alfeus, CS Nikitopoulos, L Overbeck - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This paper analyses the attributes and the significance of the roughness of oil market
volatility. We employ unspanned stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian …

On the seasonality in the implied volatility of electricity options

V Fanelli, MD Schmeck - Quantitative Finance, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
Seasonality is an important topic in electricity markets, as both supply and demand are
dependent on the time of the year. Clearly, the level of prices shows a seasonal behaviour …

Seasonality in commodity prices: new approaches for pricing plain vanilla options

C Frau, V Fanelli - Annals of Operations Research, 2024 - Springer
We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and
Schwartz, which we extend by incorporating seasonal stochastic volatility represented with …

Seasonal volatility in agricultural markets: Modelling and empirical investigations

L Schneider, B Tavin - Annals of Operations Research, 2024 - Springer
This paper deals with the issue of modelling the volatility of futures prices in agricultural
markets. We develop a multi-factor model in which the stochastic volatility dynamics …

A common shock model for multidimensional electricity intraday price modelling with application to battery valuation

T Deschatre, X Warin - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper, we propose a multidimensional statistical model of intraday electricity prices at
the scale of the trading session, which allows all products to be simulated simultaneously …

Capturing the power options smile by an additive two-factor model for overlapping futures prices

M Piccirilli, MD Schmeck, T Vargiolu - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper we introduce an additive two-factor model for electricity futures prices based on
Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy processes, that fulfills a no-overlapping-arbitrage (NOA) …

Generalized mean-reverting 4/2 factor model

Y Cheng, M Escobar-Anel, Z Gong - Journal of Risk and Financial …, 2019 - mdpi.com
This paper proposes and investigates a multivariate 4/2 Factor Model. The name 4/2 comes
from the superposition of a CIR term and a 3/2-model component. Our model goes …

A jump-diffusion model for pricing and hedging with margined options: An application to Brent crude oil contracts

JE Hilliard, J Hilliard - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
We develop a jump-diffusion model for pricing and hedging with margined options on
futures. Unlike a standard equity option, margined options require no up-front payment. An …

Samuelson hypothesis and carry arbitrage: US and China

R Brooks, JA Brooks - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
A comparative study between the US and Chinese futures markets focusing on the
Samuelson hypothesis of the maturity effect was conducted. We examine 15 matched pairs …