This article presents a review of some modern approaches to trend extraction for one-
dimensional time series, which is one of the major tasks of time series analysis. The trend of …

The growth of private labels over the past decades has been attributed to various factors.
This article formally addresses the link between private-label success and economic …

Structural Macroeconometrics provides a thorough overview and in-depth exploration of
methodologies, models, and techniques used to analyze forces shaping national …

Estimates of cyclically-adjusted budget balances, correcting actual government budget
balances for business cycle fluctuations, are produced by many institutions. This paper …

Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts
sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die …

This paper proposes a dating algorithm based on an appropriately defined Markov chain
that enforces alternation of peaks and troughs, and duration constraints concerning the …

Trend elimination and business cycle estimation are analyzed by finite sample and
asymptotic methods. An overview history is provided, operator theory is developed, limit …

The focus of this study is on presenting causes and hypotheses for the existence of
asymmetric income and price effects on tourism demand across business cycles. The …

We propose a simple modification of Hamilton's time series filter that yields reliable and
economically meaningful real-time output gap estimates. The original filter relies on 8 …

BACKGROUND: Deaths of celebrities, especially by suicide, can be followed by an increase
in population suicide rates, particularly where there is extensive media reporting. We have …