Abstract tAccurate forecasting simultaneously becomes more important and more
challenging due to the increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) systems in the built …

Forecasts are always wrong, otherwise, they are merely deterministic calculations. Besides
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …

Increasing penetration of distributed renewable power means that reliable generation
forecasts are required for grid operation. The present work aims at combining state of the art …

There is rising interest in probabilistic forecasting to mitigate risks from solar power
uncertainty, but the numerical weather prediction (NWP) ensembles readily available to …

Photovoltaic (PV) systems are widely spread across MV and LV distribution systems and the
penetration of PV generation is solidly growing. Because of the uncertain nature of the solar …

We illustrate and compare commonly used benchmark, or reference, methods for
probabilistic solar forecasting that researchers use to measure the performance of their …

Due to the chaotic nature of the underlying physical processes, even state-of-the-art models
cannot perfectly forecast the solar irradiance at the surface of the earth. There is, therefore, a …

Accurate photovoltaic (PV) forecasting is quite crucial in planning and in the regular
operation of power system. Stochastic habit along with the high risks in PV signal uncertainty …

Modeling and forecasting are impressive and active research areas, which have been
widely used in diverse theoretical and practical applications, successfully. Accuracy is the …

Some revised versions of the analog ensemble (AnEn) algorithm to improve its performance
when predicting rare events of solar power production are presented. Rare events are …