Sudden stratospheric warmings

MP Baldwin, B Ayarzagüena, T Birner… - Reviews of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …

The teleconnection of El Niño Southern Oscillation to the stratosphere

DIV Domeisen, CI Garfinkel… - Reviews of Geophysics, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
El Niño and La Niña events in the tropical Pacific have significant and disrupting impacts on
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …

The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …

Impacts, processes and projections of the quasi-biennial oscillation

JA Anstey, SM Osprey, J Alexander… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
In the tropical stratosphere, deep layers of eastward and westward winds encircle the globe
and descend regularly from the upper stratosphere to the tropical tropopause. With a …

The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the Madden–Julian oscillation

Z Martin, SW Son, A Butler, H Hendon, H Kim… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
The stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the tropospheric Madden–Julian
oscillation (MJO) are strongly linked in boreal winter. In this Review, we synthesize …

The 2019 new year stratospheric sudden warming and its real‐time predictions in multiple S2S models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, H Chen… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Using multiple data sources, favorable conditions for the 2019 SSW event and its predictive
skill from 11 subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecast models are explored in this study. This …

[HTML][HTML] Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alessandri, A., F. Catalano, M. De Felice, B. Van Den Hurk, F. Doblas Reyes, S. Boussetta,
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

AA Scaife, MP Baldwin, AH Butler… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …

The January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming and its prediction in subseasonal to seasonal models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, Q Lu… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Using reanalysis, observations, and subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts, the most
recent sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in January 2021 and its predictability are …

Teleconnections of the quasi‐biennial oscillation in a multi‐model ensemble of QBO‐resolving models

JA Anstey, IR Simpson, JH Richter… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Quasi‐biennial Oscillation (QBO) dominates the interannual variability of the
tropical stratosphere and influences other regions of the atmosphere. The high predictability …