In recent years, analytics has started to revolutionize the game of basketball: Quantitative
analyses of the game inform team strategy; management of player health and fitness; and …

OBJECTIVES: Extensive searches for the “hot hand” have been performed in a variety of
sports since the pioneering study of Gilovich, Vallone, and Tversky (1985), but empirical …

The direction of an association at the population-level may be reversed within the subgroups
comprising that population—a striking observation called Simpson's paradox. When facing …

We prove that a subtle but substantial bias exists in a common measure of the conditional
dependence of present outcomes on streaks of past outcomes in sequential data. The …

Whether trying to win Presidential primaries, trading stocks, or playing sports, performance-
enhancing effects of psychological momentum (PM) are widely accepted. But, does initial …

We exploit a natural experiment in which two professionals compete in a one-stage contest
without strategic motives and where one contestant has a clear exogenous psychological …

Cognition and behavior exhibit biases consistent with future expectations, and some of
these biases result in momentum-like effects and have been linked with the idea of …

Choking under pressure represents a phenomenon in which individuals faced with a high-
pressure situation do not perform as well as would be expected were they performing under …

People suffering from the hot-hand fallacy unreasonably expect winning streaks to continue
whereas those suffering from the gamblers' fallacy unreasonably expect losing streaks to …

The idea that the success rate of a team increases when playing home is broadly accepted
and documented for a wide variety of sports. Investigations on the so-called “home …