Machine‐learned HASDM thermospheric mass density model with uncertainty quantification

RJ Licata, PM Mehta, WK Tobiska… - Space Weather, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
A thermospheric neutral mass density model with robust and reliable uncertainty estimates
is developed based on the Space Environment Technologies (SET) High Accuracy Satellite …

Uncertainty quantification techniques for data-driven space weather modeling: thermospheric density application

RJ Licata, PM Mehta - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Abstract Machine learning (ML) has been applied to space weather problems with
increasing frequency in recent years, driven by an influx of in-situ measurements and a …

Satellite orbital drag during magnetic storms

DM Oliveira, E Zesta - Space Weather, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate satellite orbital drag effects at low‐Earth orbit associated with thermosphere
heating during magnetic storms caused by coronal mass ejections. CHAllenge Mini‐satellite …

Real‐time thermospheric density estimation via two‐line element data assimilation

DJ Gondelach, R Linares - Space Weather, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Inaccurate estimates of the thermospheric density are a major source of error in low Earth
orbit prediction. Therefore, real‐time density estimation is required to improve orbit …

Unsteady reduced order model with neural networks and flight-physics-based regularization for aerodynamic applications

MD Ribeiro, M Stradtner, P Bekemeyer - Computers & Fluids, 2023 - Elsevier
Numerical simulation of unsteady fluid flow plays an important role in several areas of the
aeronautical industry. Since high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics simulations could be …

Multi‐model ensembles for upper atmosphere models

S Elvidge, SR Granados, MJ Angling… - Space …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Multi‐model ensembles (MMEs) are used to improve the forecasts of thermospheric neutral
densities. A variety of algorithms for constructing the model weights for the MMEs are …

Real‐time thermospheric density estimation via radar and GPS tracking data assimilation

DJ Gondelach, R Linares - Space Weather, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
As the number of man‐made Earth‐orbiting objects increases, satellite operators need
enhanced space traffic management capabilities to ensure safe space operations. For …

Qualitative and quantitative assessment of the SET HASDM database

RJ Licata, PM Mehta, WK Tobiska, BR Bowman… - Space …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model (HASDM) is the operational thermospheric
density model used by the US Space Force Combined Space Operations Center. By using …

Reduced order probabilistic emulation for physics‐based thermosphere models

RJ Licata, PM Mehta - Space Weather, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The geospace environment is volatile and highly driven. Space weather has effects on
Earth's magnetosphere that cause a dynamic and enigmatic response in the thermosphere …

Benchmarking forecasting models for space weather drivers

RJ Licata, WK Tobiska, PM Mehta - Space Weather, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Space weather indices are commonly used to drive operational forecasts of various
geospace systems, including the thermosphere for mass density and satellite drag. The …