Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science

VM Gálfi, V Lucarini, F Ragone, J Wouters - La Rivista del Nuovo Cimento, 2021 - Springer
The climate is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom. Attaining a deeper
level of understanding of climate dynamics is an urgent scientific challenge, given the …

Rare event algorithm study of extreme warm summers and heatwaves over Europe

F Ragone, F Bouchet - Geophysical Research Letters, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The analysis of extremes in climate models is hindered by the lack of statistics due to the
computational costs required to run simulations long enough to sample rare events. We …

[HTML][HTML] The seven deadly sins: When computing crystal nucleation rates, the devil is in the details

KE Blow, D Quigley, GC Sosso - The Journal of Chemical Physics, 2021 - pubs.aip.org
The formation of crystals has proven to be one of the most challenging phase
transformations to quantitatively model—let alone to actually understand—be it by means of …

Classical nucleation theory for active fluid phase separation

ME Cates, C Nardini - Physical Review Letters, 2023 - APS
Classical Nucleation Theory (CNT), linking rare nucleation events to the free-energy
landscape of a growing nucleus, is central to understanding phase-change kinetics in …

Fingerprinting heatwaves and cold spells and assessing their response to climate change using large deviation theory

VM Galfi, V Lucarini - Physical review letters, 2021 - APS
Extreme events provide relevant insights into the dynamics of climate and their
understanding is key for mitigating the impact of climate variability and climate change. By …

Dynamical landscape and multistability of a climate model

G Margazoglou, T Grafke, A Laio… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an
intermediate complexity climate model and analyse their interplay. First, drawing from the …

Rogue nanowaves: A route to film rupture

JE Sprittles, J Liu, DA Lockerby, T Grafke - Physical Review Fluids, 2023 - APS
Sufficiently thin liquid films on solid surfaces are often unstable to intermolecular forces and
it is commonly assumed that their rupture occurs via a linear instability mechanism in the so …

Coupling rare event algorithms with data-based learned committor functions using the analogue Markov chain

D Lucente, J Rolland, C Herbert… - Journal of Statistical …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when
they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when …

Extreme events in transitional turbulence

S Gomé, LS Tuckerman… - … Transactions of the …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Transitional localized turbulence in shear flows is known to either decay to an absorbing
laminar state or to proliferate via splitting. The average passage times from one state to the …

Sticky Brownian motion and its numerical solution

N Bou-Rabee, MC Holmes-Cerfon - SIAM review, 2020 - SIAM
Sticky Brownian motion is the simplest example of a diffusion process that can spend finite
time both in the interior of a domain and on its boundary. It arises in various applications in …