Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …

In an epoch of rapid environmental change, understanding and predicting how biodiversity
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …

As the climate changes, warmer spring temperatures are causing earlier leaf-out,–and
commencement of CO2 uptake, in temperate deciduous forests, resulting in a tendency …

Phenotypic plasticity is a major mechanism of response to global change. However, current
plastic responses will only remain adaptive under future conditions if informative …

Tree rings provide an invaluable long‐term record for understanding how climate and other
drivers shape tree growth and forest productivity. However, conventional tree‐ring analysis …

Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food
chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis …

The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with
few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' …

Larch, a widely distributed tree in boreal Eurasia, is experiencing rapid warming across
much of its distribution. A comprehensive assessment of growth on warming is needed to …

When studying the impacts of climate change, there is a tendency to select climate data from
a small set of arbitrary time periods or climate windows (eg, spring temperature). However …

More extreme climatic events (ECEs) are among the most prominent consequences of
climate change. Despite a long-standing recognition of the importance of ECEs by paleo …