A Postmortem Analysis of COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasts: Forward or Sticky Information?

J Pang - 2023 - search.proquest.com
This study conducts a postmortem analysis to evaluate the overall forecasting performance
of a large number of pandemic transmission models for COVID-19 mortality. For a …

Bayesian Analysis of Combining Forecasts

C Amrapala - 2022 - tigerprints.clemson.edu
Mean forecasts from professional surveys are often found to outperform most individual
responses. However, much fewer studies relate the survey of expert forecasts with …