Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets

M Balcilar, O Usman, H Gungor, D Roubaud… - Economic …, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the predictive content of news-based advanced market, regional,
and global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) measures for bond spreads and their volatility …

Carbon emission post-coronavirus: continual decline or rebound?

R Li, S Li - Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2021 - Elsevier
Studies have shown that the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant drop in carbon
emissions in 2020, however, it is an open question whether carbon emissions continue to …

Risk spillover from international crude oil markets to China's financial markets: Evidence from extreme events and US monetary policy

C Luo, Y Qu, Y Su, L Dong - The North American Journal of Economics and …, 2024 - Elsevier
We study the risk spillover from international crude oil markets to China's financial markets
by considering the shocks from extreme events and the moderating effect of US monetary …

How do energy market shocks affect economic activity in the US under changing financial conditions?

M Balcilar, O Usman, D Roubaud - … in energy finance: The energy sector …, 2022 - Springer
Credit markets play a crucial role in the propagation of shocks through an economy. Both
economic uncertainty and oil market shocks transmit through credit markets to various …

Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth

R Gupta, X Sheng, M Balcilar, Q Ji - Finance Research Letters, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper analyses the dynamic impact of uncertainty due to global pandemics (SARS,
H5N1, H1N1, MERS, Ebola, and COVID-19) on global output growth, using a TVP-SVAR …

[HTML][HTML] Interplay of multifractal dynamics between shadow policy rates and stock markets

F Aslam, W Mohti, H Ali, P Ferreira - Heliyon, 2023 - cell.com
Stock markets are generally perceived as a barometer of the economy and respond to
international monetary policies even before economic activities. Many central banks have …

The dynamic effect of pandemics on industrial production growth

M Shaik - Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Using a time-varying parameter-structural vector autoregressive (TVP-SVAR) model, this
study investigates the dynamic impact of uncertainty caused by worldwide pandemics on …

Connectedness between (un) conventional monetary policy and islamic and advanced equity markets: A returns and volatility spillover analysis

SY Choi, A Phiri, T Teplova, Z Umar - International Review of Economics & …, 2024 - Elsevier
Using the spillover index, we investigated the relationship between Islamic equity markets
and unconventional monetary policy (UMP) in five advanced economies. We documented …

Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times

M Balcilar, ZA Ozdemir, H Ozdemir… - Available at SSRN …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong
Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU …

Nonlinear network connectedness: Assessing financial risk transmission in MENA and influence of external financial conditions

M Balcilar, O Usman, GM Duman - Emerging Markets Review, 2024 - Elsevier
This study investigates the influence of global financial market conditions on financial risk
connectedness and transmission among the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) …