An extended SEIR model with vaccination for forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic in Saudi Arabia using an ensemble Kalman filter

R Ghostine, M Gharamti, S Hassrouny, I Hoteit - Mathematics, 2021 - mdpi.com
In this paper, an extended SEIR model with a vaccination compartment is proposed to
simulate the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) spread in Saudi Arabia. The model …

Mathematical models to predict COVID-19 outbreak: An interim review

P Harjule, V Tiwari, A Kumar - Journal of Interdisciplinary …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract World Health Organization (WHO) announced novel-coronavirus (COVID-19)
disease, a pandemic on March 12, 2020, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus. The …

Epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness analysis of COVID-19 vaccination in Kenya

S Orangi, J Ojal, SPC Brand, C Orlendo, A Kairu… - BMJ Global …, 2022 - gh.bmj.com
Background A few studies have assessed the epidemiological impact and the cost-
effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in settings where most of the population had been …

An international initiative of predicting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using ensemble data assimilation

G Evensen, J Amezcua, M Bocquet… - Foundations of Data …, 2021 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
This work demonstrates the efficiency of using iterative ensemble smoothers to estimate the
parameters of an SEIR model. We have extended a standard SEIR model with age-classes …

Underlying principles of a Covid-19 behavioral vaccine for a sustainable cultural change

KC Couto, F Moura Lorenzo, M Tagliabue… - International Journal of …, 2020 - mdpi.com
Until pharmacological measures are effective at containing the COVID-19 outbreak,
adopting protective behaviors is paramount. In this work, we aim at informing interventions to …

Regional responsibility and coordination of appropriate inpatient care capacities for patients with COVID-19–the German DISPENSE model

BJ Lünsmann, K Polotzek, C Kleber, R Gebler… - Plos one, 2022 - journals.plos.org
As of late 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic has been a challenge to health care systems
worldwide. Rapidly rising local COVID-19 incidence rates, result in demand for high hospital …

[HTML][HTML] Surging critical care capacity for COVID-19: Key now and in the future

JM Rodriguez-Llanes, RC Delgado… - Progress in Disaster …, 2020 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic has shocked health systems worldwide, with visible impacts on
intensive care units and emergency departments. The concept of “surge capacity” should be …

COVID-19: A relook at healthcare systems and aged populations

TL Giang, DT Vo, QH Vuong - Sustainability, 2020 - mdpi.com
Using data from the WHO's Situation Report on the COVID-19 pandemic from 21 January
2020 to 30 March 2020 along with other health, demographic, and macroeconomic …

Covid-19 pandemic cyclic lockdown optimization using reinforcement learning

M Arango, L Pelov - arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.04647, 2020 - arxiv.org
This work examines the use of reinforcement learning (RL) to optimize cyclic lockdowns,
which is one of the methods available for control of the COVID-19 pandemic. The problem is …

Analysis of COVID-19 spread in Tokyo through an agent-based model with data assimilation

C Sun, S Richard, T Miyoshi, N Tsuzu - Journal of Clinical Medicine, 2022 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we introduce an agent-based model together with a particle filter approach to
study the spread of COVID-19. Investigations are mainly performed on the metropolis of …