Background Decision aid developers have to convey complex task-specific numeric information in a way that minimizes bias and promotes understanding of the options …
The natural frequency facilitation effect describes the finding that people are better able to solve descriptive Bayesian inference tasks when represented as joint frequencies obtained …
In their research articles, scholars often use 2× 2 tables or tree diagrams including natural frequencies in order to illustrate Bayesian reasoning situations to their peers. Interestingly …
In teaching statistics in secondary schools and at university, two visualizations are primarily used when situations with two dichotomous characteristics are represented: 2× 2 tables and …
A Eichler, K Böcherer-Linder, M Vogel - Frontiers in Psychology, 2020 - frontiersin.org
People often struggle with Bayesian reasoning. However, previous research showed that people's performance (and rationality) can be supported by the way the statistical …
K Böcherer-Linder, A Eichler - Frontiers in psychology, 2017 - frontiersin.org
It is an ongoing debate, what properties of visualizations increase people's performance when solving Bayesian reasoning tasks. In the discussion of the properties of two …
K Böcherer-Linder, A Eichler - Frontiers in psychology, 2019 - frontiersin.org
Bayes' formula is a fundamental statistical method for inference judgments in uncertain situations used by both laymen and professionals. However, since people often fail in …
Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to assess a posterior probability (ie, a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (ie …
ED Johnson, E Tubau - Frontiers in psychology, 2015 - frontiersin.org
Humans have long been characterized as poor probabilistic reasoners when presented with explicit numerical information. Bayesian word problems provide a well-known example of …