Cross‐validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure

DR Roberts, V Bahn, S Ciuti, MS Boyce, J Elith… - …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Ecological data often show temporal, spatial, hierarchical (random effects), or phylogenetic
structure. Modern statistical approaches are increasingly accounting for such dependencies …

Refugia: identifying and understanding safe havens for biodiversity under climate change

G Keppel, KP Van Niel… - Global ecology and …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Identifying and protecting refugia is a priority for conservation under projected
anthropogenic climate change, because of their demonstrated ability to facilitate the survival …

Refugia revisited: individualistic responses of species in space and time

JR Stewart, AM Lister, I Barnes… - Proceedings of the …, 2010 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Climate change in the past has led to significant changes in species' distributions. However,
how individual species respond to climate change depends largely on their adaptations and …

Predicting the past distribution of species climatic niches

D Nogués‐Bravo - Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Predicting past distributions of species climatic niches, hindcasting, by using climate
envelope models (CEMs) is emerging as an exciting research area. CEMs are used to …

Quaternary phylogeography: the roots of hybrid zones

GM Hewitt - Genetica, 2011 - Springer
The older history of hybrid zones is explored through consideration of recent advances in
climatology, paleontology and phylogeography in the Late Cenozoic, particularly the …

Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology

JC Svenning, C Fløjgaard, KA Marske… - Quaternary Science …, 2011 - Elsevier
Species distribution modeling (SDM: statistical and/or mechanistic approaches to the
assessment of range determinants and prediction of species occurrence) offers new …

Postglacial migration supplements climate in determining plant species ranges in Europe

S Normand, RE Ricklefs, F Skov… - … of the Royal …, 2011 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The influence of dispersal limitation on species ranges remains controversial. Considering
the dramatic impacts of the last glaciation in Europe, species might not have tracked climate …

Climate change risks and conservation implications for a threatened small-range mammal species

N Morueta-Holme, C Fløjgaard, JC Svenning - PloS one, 2010 - journals.plos.org
Background Climate change is already affecting the distributions of many species and may
lead to numerous extinctions over the next century. Small-range species are likely to be a …

Using species distribution models in paleobiogeography: a matter of data, predictors and concepts

S Varela, JM Lobo, J Hortal - Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology …, 2011 - Elsevier
The increasing interest in the effects of climate changes on species distributions has been
followed by the development of Species Distribution Models (SDMs). Although these …

Climate, history and neutrality as drivers of mammal beta diversity in Europe: insights from multiscale deconstruction

JC Svenning, C Fløjgaard… - Journal of Animal …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Environmental sorting, historical factors and neutral dynamics may all drive beta diversity
(change in species composition across space), but their relative importance remains …