Near‐misses and future disaster preparedness

RL Dillon, CH Tinsley, WJ Burns - Risk analysis, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Disasters garner attention when they occur, and organizations commonly extract valuable
lessons from visible failures, adopting new behaviors in response. For example, the United …

Assessment of the regional economic impacts of catastrophic events: CGE analysis of resource loss and behavioral effects of an RDD attack scenario

JA Giesecke, WJ Burns, A Barrett… - Risk Analysis: An …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the regional economic consequences of a hypothetical catastrophic event—
attack via radiological dispersal device (RDD)—centered on the downtown Los Angeles …

Using an inoculation message approach to promote public confidence in protective agencies

B Ivanov, WJ Burns, TL Sellnow… - Journal of Applied …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
This investigation tested the effectiveness of inoculation as a pre-crisis strategy in combating
the effects of politically motivated violent acts. A four-phase experiment was conducted …

Saved by the news? COVID-19 in German news and its relationship with regional mobility behaviour

B Ozgun, T Broekel - Regional Studies, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
There are substantial differences across regions regarding COVID-19 infections and deaths,
which are partly explained by differences in practicing social distancing. In this paper we …

Macroeconomic consequences of terrorist attacks: Estimation for the analysis of policies and rules

A Rose - Benefit–Cost Analyses for Security Policies, 2015 - elgaronline.com
The design of policies and rules to reduce the risk of terrorist attacks should ideally be
evaluated according to an objective decision-making framework such as benefit–cost …

A system dynamics model of the COVID‐19 pandemic considering risk perception: A case study of Iran

M Korzebor, N Nahavandi - Risk Analysis, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) has become a complex issue around the
world. As the disease advancing and death rates are continuously increasing, governments …

[HTML][HTML] Behavioral Economic Consequences of Disasters: A Basis for Inclusion in Benefit–Cost Analysis

A Rose - Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, 2022 - Springer
The purpose of this paper is to develop an analytical framework for estimating the behavioral
effects of disasters and their economic consequences. The reduction of these losses …

Evolving risk perceptions about near-miss terrorist events

RL Dillon, CH Tinsley, WJ Burns - Decision Analysis, 2014 - pubsonline.informs.org
After disasters such as the attacks of September 11, 2001, the public experiences a
heightened response that naturally returns to some lower level of concern. We demonstrate …

The potential for inoculation messages and postinoculation talk to minimize the social impact of politically motivated acts of violence

B Ivanov, T Sellnow, M Getchell… - … of Contingencies and …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The objective was to test whether precrisis inoculation‐stimulated conversations can
positively impact key beliefs vital to the prosperity of a nation following an act of terrorism …

Regional dynamics under adverse physical and behavioral shocks: the economic consequences of a chlorine terrorist attack in the Los Angeles financial district

J Giesecke, W Burns, A Rose, T Barrett… - Regional Science Matters …, 2015 - Springer
Emergency management decision makers must make contingency plans for a wide range of
threat scenarios. In undertaking ex-ante cost/benefit evaluations of contingency plans, they …