We study mislearning from equilibrium prices, and contrast this with mislearning from exogenous fundamentals. We micro-found mislearning from prices with a psychologically …
We develop a dynamic theory of" Partial Equilibrium Thinking"(PET), which micro-founds time-varying price extrapolation. Extrapolative beliefs are present at all times, but only …
TC Green, R Jame - Available at SSRN 4874993, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Using trade order imbalances to identify retail buying frenzies, we find that frenzies are associated with large contemporaneous stock price increases followed by prolonged …
M Sammon, JJ Shim - Available at SSRN, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We develop two new, simple measures to quantify active fund decisions at the individual position level. The intuition is to separate passive rebalancing induced by flows and position …
M Sammon, JJ Shim - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Each time a stock is bought or sold by a passive index fund, who takes the other side? We use a combination of datasets to account for as many shares as possible in every stock that …
Y Ahn, AQ Fan, D Noh, SY Park - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
In most stock markets, average overnight (close-to-open) returns are high while intraday (open-to-close) returns are low, even negative. We show that retail investors' trading …
How does earnings news get priced into stock returns? I use a demand system approach to show that this passthrough depends on investor responses to both earnings and prices and …
Social media attention before earnings announcements is overly optimistic, fails to predict fundamentals, and generates buying pressure, leading to a 58 bps stock return as …