Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with Bayesian stochastic volatility models

M Kostrzewski, J Kostrzewska - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
The study is focused on probabilistic forecasts of day-ahead electricity prices. The Bayesian
approach allows for conducting statistical inference about model parameters, latent volatility …

Can a self-exciting jump structure better capture the jump behavior of cryptocurrencies? A comparative analysis with the S&P 500

Y Chen, L Zhang, E Bouri - Research in International Business and …, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a stochastic volatility model with an independent self-exciting jump
structure model (SE-SVIJ) to capture the jump dynamics of cryptocurrency daily returns. The …

Behavioral data-driven analysis with Bayesian method for risk management of financial services

EMH Lin, EW Sun, MT Yu - International Journal of Production Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
Time-varying behavioral features and non-linear dependence are widely observed in big
data and challenge the operating systems and processes of risk management in financial …

Limit-hitting exciting effects: Modeling jump dependencies in stock markets adhering to daily price-limit rules

J Chen, S Qi - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Price limits are widely implemented in stock markets worldwide; however, they are rarely
considered in financial models. In this study, we propose a model specifically designed for …

Stock co-jump networks

Y Ding, Y Li, G Liu, X Zheng - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract We propose a Degree-Corrected Block Model with Dependent Multivariate Poisson
edges (DCBM-DMP) to study stock co-jump dependence. To estimate the community …

Optimal trading strategies for Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes

S Endres, J Stübinger - Applied Economics, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
This study derives an optimal pairs trading strategy based on a Lévy-driven Ornstein–
Uhlenbeck process and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from …

Co-jumps in the Chinese stock market before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: A network perspective

R Zou, S Zhang, Z He, C Hao - Finance Research Letters, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper investigates co-jumps in the Chinese stock market before, during and after the
COVID-19 pandemic from a network perspective. The higher co-jump intensity and the …

Why was there more household stock market participation during the COVID-19 pandemic?

W Zheng, B Li, Z Huang, L Chen - Finance research letters, 2022 - Elsevier
Although the nation was experiencing an economic downturn due to the COVID-19
pandemic outbreak, we nonetheless observed an increase in household equity share value …

Contingent capital conversion under dual asset and equity jump–diffusions

S Javadi, W Li, A Nejadmalayeri - International Review of Financial …, 2023 - Elsevier
We model contingent capital with market trigger under dual jump–diffusion processes in
asset values and equity prices. Under the dual jump–diffusions, we show that the conversion …

Financial Crisis Warning of Financial Robot Based on Artificial Intelligence.

W Li - Revue d'Intelligence Artificielle, 2020 - search.ebscohost.com
Robotic process automation (RPA) financial robot provides a modern and intelligent tool for
financial management, and financial business processing. Currently, more than 32% of …