[PDF][PDF] Can chatgpt decipher fedspeak

AL Hansen, S Kazinnik - Available at SSRN, 2023 - newyorkfed.org
Abstract This paper investigates the ability of Generative Pre-training Transformer (GPT)
models to decipher Fedspeak, a term used to describe the technical language used by the …

Whatever it takes to understand a central banker: Embedding their words using neural networks

M Baumgärtner, J Zahner - 2023 - econstor.eu
Dictionary approaches are at the forefront of current techniques for quantifying central bank
communication. This paper proposes embeddings-a language model trained using machine …

Logistic Regression makes small LLMs strong and explainable" tens-of-shot" classifiers

M Buckmann, E Hill - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.03414, 2024 - arxiv.org
For simple classification tasks, we show that users can benefit from the advantages of using
small, local, generative language models instead of large commercial models without a …

Agree to Disagree: Measuring Hidden Dissents in FOMC Meetings

KP Tsang, Z Yang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.10131, 2023 - arxiv.org
Based on a record of dissents on FOMC votes and transcripts of the meetings from 1976 to
2017, we develop a deep learning model based on self-attention modules to create a …

Readability and Sentiment Analysis of Central Bank Communication in Central and Eastern Europe

J Celler - Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and …, 2024 - jstage.jst.go.jp
This study analyzes the readability and sentiment of central bank communications across six
Central and Eastern European countries. It reveals considerable variability in readability …

[PDF][PDF] How Central Bank Independence Shapes Monetary Policy Communication: A Large Language Model Application

L Leek, S Bischl - 2024 - osf.io
Although central bank communication is a core monetary policy and accountability tool for
central banks, little is known about what shapes it. This paper develops and tests a theory …

Four Facts about International Central Bank Communication

C Bertsch, I Hull, RL Lumsdaine… - Available at SSRN …, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper introduces a novel database of text features extracted from the speeches of 53
central banks from 1996 to 2023 using state-of-the-art NLP methods. We establish four …

[PDF][PDF] Whatever it Takes to Understand a Central Banker–Embedding their Words Using Neural Networks.

J Zahner, M Baumgärtner - 2022 - econstor.eu
Over the last few decades, there has been an increase in the analysis and interpretation of
central bank communication (Blinder et al., 2008). This development was accelerated by the …

FOMC Statements: LLMs vs Traditional Methods for Inflation Sentiment Extraction

TQ Nguyen, A Baumann - 2024 - biopen.bi.no
This thesis evaluates the effectiveness of different Natural Language Processing (NLP)
sentiment models in predicting the inflation expectations of economic agents based on the …

Time-varying variance decomposition of macro-finance term structure models

AL Hansen - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper studies time-series patterns in the contribution of macroeconomic shocks to the
variation in US Treasury bond yields. I consider a term structure model with time-varying …